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纽约市 COVID-19 患者死亡的风险因素。

Risk Factors for Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 in New York City.

机构信息

Department of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.

Department of Medicine, Mount Sinai Beth Israel, 281 First Ave, Box #218, New York, 10003, NY, USA.

出版信息

J Gen Intern Med. 2021 Jan;36(1):17-26. doi: 10.1007/s11606-020-05983-z. Epub 2020 Jun 30.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

New York City emerged as an epicenter of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the clinical characteristics and risk factors associated with mortality in a large patient population in the USA.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

6493 patients who had laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 with clinical outcomes between March 13 and April 17, 2020, who were seen in one of the 8 hospitals and/or over 400 ambulatory practices in the New York City metropolitan area MAIN MEASURES: Clinical characteristics and risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality.

KEY RESULTS

A total of 858 of 6493 (13.2%) patients in our total cohort died: 52/2785 (1.9%) ambulatory patients and 806/3708 (21.7%) hospitalized patients. Cox proportional hazard regression modeling showed an increased risk of in-hospital mortality associated with age older than 50 years (hazard ratio [HR] 2.34, CI 1.47-3.71), systolic blood pressure less than 90 mmHg (HR 1.38, CI 1.06-1.80), a respiratory rate greater than 24 per min (HR 1.43, CI 1.13-1.83), peripheral oxygen saturation less than 92% (HR 2.12, CI 1.56-2.88), estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 60 mL/min/1.73m (HR 1.80, CI 1.60-2.02), IL-6 greater than 100 pg/mL (HR 1.50, CI 1.12-2.03), D-dimer greater than 2 mcg/mL (HR 1.19, CI 1.02-1.39), and troponin greater than 0.03 ng/mL (HR 1.40, CI 1.23-1.62). Decreased risk of in-hospital mortality was associated with female sex (HR 0.84, CI 0.77-0.90), African American race (HR 0.78 CI 0.65-0.95), and hydroxychloroquine use (HR 0.53, CI 0.41-0.67).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with COVID-19, older age, male sex, hypotension, tachypnea, hypoxia, impaired renal function, elevated D-dimer, and elevated troponin were associated with increased in-hospital mortality and hydroxychloroquine use was associated with decreased in-hospital mortality.

摘要

背景

纽约市成为 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行的中心。

目的

描述美国大型患者人群中与死亡率相关的临床特征和危险因素。

设计

回顾性队列研究。

参与者

2020 年 3 月 13 日至 4 月 17 日期间在纽约市大都市区的 8 家医院和/或 400 多家门诊就诊的实验室确诊 COVID-19 且临床结局为阳性的 6493 例患者。

主要措施

与院内死亡率相关的临床特征和危险因素。

主要结果

我们总队列中共有 858 例(13.2%)患者死亡:2785 例门诊患者中 52 例(1.9%),3708 例住院患者中 806 例(21.7%)。Cox 比例风险回归模型显示,年龄大于 50 岁(危险比 [HR] 2.34,CI 1.47-3.71)、收缩压小于 90mmHg(HR 1.38,CI 1.06-1.80)、呼吸频率大于 24 次/分(HR 1.43,CI 1.13-1.83)、外周血氧饱和度小于 92%(HR 2.12,CI 1.56-2.88)、估算肾小球滤过率小于 60ml/min/1.73m(HR 1.80,CI 1.60-2.02)、白细胞介素 6 大于 100pg/ml(HR 1.50,CI 1.12-2.03)、D-二聚体大于 2mcg/ml(HR 1.19,CI 1.02-1.39)和肌钙蛋白大于 0.03ng/ml(HR 1.40,CI 1.23-1.62)与院内死亡率增加相关。与院内死亡率降低相关的风险因素包括女性(HR 0.84,CI 0.77-0.90)、非裔美国人(HR 0.78,CI 0.65-0.95)和羟氯喹的使用(HR 0.53,CI 0.41-0.67)。

结论

在 COVID-19 患者中,年龄较大、男性、低血压、呼吸急促、缺氧、肾功能受损、D-二聚体升高和肌钙蛋白升高与院内死亡率增加相关,而羟氯喹的使用与院内死亡率降低相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d6f4/7859005/214864a5d706/11606_2020_5983_Fig1a_HTML.jpg

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