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能源转型和全球化的碳排放效应:来自低收入、中下收入、中上收入和高收入经济体的推断。

Carbon emission effect of energy transition and globalization: inference from the low-, lower middle-, upper middle-, and high-income economies.

机构信息

Department of Economics and Finance, Istanbul Gelisim University, Istanbul, Turkey.

Department of Financial Technologies, South Ural State University, Chelyabinsk, Russia.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Oct;27(30):38276-38286. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-09857-z. Epub 2020 Jul 4.

Abstract

The importance of income to environmental sustainability especially in the perspective of economic development has been rigorously examined in recent times. To further deepened the income-environmental sustainability narrative, the current study explore the cases of income-classified countries vis-à-vis the high-income, low-income, lower middle-income, and the upper middle-income countries and territories. As such, the current study examined the impact of renewable energy and fossil fuel energy consumption and globalization on CO emissions over the period of 1970 to 2014 for the case of (1) the panel of income-classified countries and territories and (2) the time series of each of the income-classification. By employing the Pooled Mean Group of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, the study found that fossil fuel consumption in the panel of examined income classification aggravates environmental hazards in both the short-long run, while the share of renewable energy usage improves the environmental quality only in the short run. Like the renewable energy consumption, globalization exacts negative and positive impacts in the short run and long run, respectively. From the second (time series) approach, the study found that fossil fuel energy worsen the environment in each of the fours income-categorized economies. Similarly, renewable energy usage exerts a significant and desirable impact on the environment in all but one (lower middle income) of the four income-categorized economies. However, globalization observably plays a significant and desirable role only in the lower middle-income economies. Hence, the study posits policy guide in the context of increased diversification of energy portfolio for each of the four income-categorized countries and territories especially the lower middle-income economies.

摘要

近年来,收入对环境可持续性的重要性,尤其是从经济发展的角度来看,已经受到了严格的审查。为了进一步深化收入-环境可持续性的论述,本研究探讨了按收入分类的国家与高收入、低收入、中下等收入和上中等收入国家和地区的案例。因此,本研究考察了可再生能源和化石燃料能源消耗以及全球化对 1970 年至 2014 年期间 CO2 排放的影响,案例包括:(1) 按收入分类的国家和地区面板,以及 (2) 每种收入分类的时间序列。本研究采用自回归分布滞后 (ARDL) 方法的 pooled mean group,发现面板中考察的收入分类中的化石燃料消耗在短期和长期内都加剧了环境危害,而可再生能源的使用份额仅在短期提高了环境质量。与可再生能源消耗一样,全球化在短期和长期内分别产生负面影响和积极影响。从第二个(时间序列)方法来看,本研究发现化石燃料能源在四个收入分类经济体中的每一个都恶化了环境。同样,可再生能源的使用在除一个(中下等收入)之外的四个收入分类经济体中对环境都产生了显著且理想的影响。然而,全球化在中下等收入经济体中明显发挥了显著且理想的作用。因此,本研究在增加每个收入分类国家和地区的能源组合多样化的背景下提出了政策指导,特别是在下中等收入经济体中。

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