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主要 CO2 排放国的全球化对环境的影响:基于带有傅里叶函数的自回归分布滞后模型的实证分析。

Impact of globalization on the environment in major CO-emitting countries: Evidence using bootstrap ARDL with a Fourier function.

机构信息

Research Center of Hubei Logistics Development, Hubei University of Economics, Wuhan, China.

School of Business, Wuchang University of Technology, Wuhan, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2022 Sep 8;10:907403. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.907403. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Alongside sustainable development as a major global aim, the contribution made by globalization to environmental issues has become crucial in recent decades. Prior studies have focused on how trade in globalization influences the environment. However, multiple economic, social, and political factors are also important, the integration of which needs to be considered in sustainable development. Sharp and smooth breaks in time series models are the consequence of real-world structures. Using the bootstrap autoregressive-distributed lag test with a Fourier function, the present study reexamined the nexus between globalization and the environment in China, the United States, and India. The empirical results indicate that in the United States, the nexus between globalization and the environment is cointegrated in the long-term. In the short term, globalization is improving the environment in the United States and India. However, in China, globalization is resulting in environmental degradation. This research will assist policymakers in developing comprehensive strategies for sustainable development.

摘要

伴随着可持续发展成为一个主要的全球目标,全球化对环境问题的贡献在最近几十年变得至关重要。先前的研究集中于全球化贸易如何影响环境。然而,多个经济、社会和政治因素也很重要,需要在可持续发展中加以考虑。时间序列模型中的急剧和光滑间断是现实世界结构的结果。本研究使用带傅里叶函数的自回归分布滞后检验的自举法,重新检验了全球化与中国、美国和印度环境之间的关系。实证结果表明,在美国,全球化与环境之间的关系在长期内是协整的。在短期内,全球化改善了美国和印度的环境。然而,在中国,全球化导致了环境恶化。这项研究将有助于政策制定者制定可持续发展的综合战略。

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