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建模与家庭临近未经处理的污水用于灌溉在梅斯基特山谷,墨西哥相关的腹泻病的空间风险。

Modeling Spatial Risk of Diarrheal Disease Associated with Household Proximity to Untreated Wastewater Used for Irrigation in the Mezquital Valley, Mexico.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

Department of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

出版信息

Environ Health Perspect. 2020 Jul;128(7):77002. doi: 10.1289/EHP6443. Epub 2020 Jul 7.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Reusing wastewater for irrigation is a longstanding practice that enhances crop yields and improves climate resilience. Without treatment, however, wastewater contains harmful pathogens and chemicals. Reuse of untreated wastewater has been shown to be harmful to the health of nearby communities, but the routes of exposure are unknown and do not appear to be occupational. Some routes occur throughout entire communities, such as food contamination. Other routes may be spatially dependent, such as spread by domestic animals or through aerosolization.

OBJECTIVES

To examine whether those wastewater exposure routes with a spatial dependency affect health, we estimated the risks of diarrheal disease in children under age 5 associated with living near wastewater canals, while adjusting for potential individual- and household-level confounders.

METHODS

We conducted three surveys over 1 y in the Mezquital Valley, Mexico, to measure diarrhea in children. The distance between each participating household and a wastewater canal was measured using GPS coordinates. The association between proximity and diarrhea was estimated with a multilevel logistic regression model accounting for spatial autocorrelation.

RESULTS

A total of 564 households completed one to three surveys, resulting in 1,856 survey observations of 646 children. Children living from a canal had 45% lower odds of diarrhea than those living within of a canal, and children living away had 70% lower odds of diarrhea [ vs. adjusted odds ratio , 95% credible interval (CI): 0.33, 0.91; vs. adjusted , 95% CI: 0.11, 0.82].

DISCUSSION

The estimated decline in diarrheal prevalence with household distance from a canal persisted after controlling for occupational exposure. Identifying the specific routes of exposure that drive this relationship will help identify which interventions, such as upstream treatment, can reduce health risks for entire communities where wastewater exposure occurs. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP6443.

摘要

背景

利用废水进行灌溉是一种由来已久的做法,可以提高作物产量并增强气候适应能力。然而,如果不经处理,废水中含有有害病原体和化学物质。未经处理的废水再利用已被证明对附近社区的健康有害,但暴露途径尚不清楚,而且似乎并非职业性暴露。一些途径发生在整个社区,例如食物污染。其他途径可能具有空间依赖性,例如通过家畜传播或气溶胶化传播。

目的

为了研究那些具有空间依赖性的废水暴露途径是否会影响健康,我们估计了居住在废水渠附近的 5 岁以下儿童患腹泻病的风险,同时调整了潜在的个体和家庭层面混杂因素。

方法

我们在墨西哥梅斯基特山谷进行了三次为期一年的调查,以测量儿童腹泻情况。使用 GPS 坐标测量每个参与家庭与废水渠之间的距离。使用多水平逻辑回归模型,考虑空间自相关,估计接近度与腹泻之间的关联。

结果

共有 564 户家庭完成了一次到三次调查,共有 1856 次调查观察到 646 名儿童。与居住在废水渠 内的儿童相比,居住在 外的儿童患腹泻的几率低 45%,居住在 外的儿童患腹泻的几率低 70%[与居住在 内相比,调整后的比值比(aOR),95%可信区间(CI):0.33,0.91;与居住在 外相比,调整后的 aOR,95%CI:0.11,0.82]。

讨论

在控制职业暴露后,家庭距离废水渠的远近与腹泻患病率下降之间的估计关系仍然存在。确定导致这种关系的具体暴露途径将有助于确定哪些干预措施(例如上游处理)可以降低整个存在废水暴露的社区的健康风险。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP6443.

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f68c/7340213/fd2f1c052c5b/ehp6443_f1.jpg

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