School of Public Health, Division of Environmental Health Sciences, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, California, USA
School of Public Health, Division of Environmental Health Sciences, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, California, USA.
J Epidemiol Community Health. 2020 Nov;74(11):907-912. doi: 10.1136/jech-2020-214117. Epub 2020 Jul 8.
In recent decades, suicide and fatal overdose rates have increased in the US, particularly for working-age adults with no college education. The coincident decline in manufacturing has limited stable employment options for this population. Erosion of the Michigan automobile industry provides a striking case study.
We used individual-level data from a retrospective cohort study of 26 804 autoworkers in the United Autoworkers-General Motors cohort, using employment records from 1970 to 1994 and mortality follow-up from 1970 to 2015. We estimated HRs for suicide or fatal overdose in relation to leaving work, measured as active or inactive employment status and age at worker exit.
There were 257 deaths due to either suicide (n=202) or overdose (n=55); all but 21 events occurred after leaving work. The hazard rate for suicide was 16.1 times higher for inactive versus active workers (95% CI 9.8 to 26.5). HRs for suicide were elevated for all younger age groups relative to those leaving work after age 55. Those 30-39 years old at exit had the highest HR for suicide, 1.9 (95% CI 1.2 to 3.0). When overdose was included, the rate increased by twofold for both 19- to 29-year-olds and 30- to 39-year-olds at exit. Risks remained elevated when follow-up was restricted to 5 years after exit.
Autoworkers who left work had a higher risk of suicide or overdose than active employees. Those who left before retirement age had higher rates than those who left after, suggesting that leaving work early may increase the risk.
近几十年来,美国的自杀和致命药物过量率有所上升,尤其是没有大学学历的工作年龄段成年人。制造业的同时下降限制了这部分人群稳定就业的选择。密歇根州汽车业的衰退为我们提供了一个引人注目的案例研究。
我们使用了一项针对美国汽车工人联合会-通用汽车队列中 26804 名汽车工人的回顾性队列研究的个体水平数据,使用了 1970 年至 1994 年的就业记录和 1970 年至 2015 年的死亡率随访数据。我们根据离职时的在职或离职状态以及工人离职时的年龄,估算了自杀或致命药物过量与离职的相关性。
共有 257 人死于自杀(n=202)或药物过量(n=55);除了 21 人之外,所有事件均发生在离职后。与在职工人相比,离职工人的自杀风险高出 16.1 倍(95%CI9.8 至 26.5)。与 55 岁以后离职的工人相比,所有年轻工人的自杀风险都更高。离职时 30-39 岁的工人自杀风险最高,为 1.9(95%CI1.2 至 3.0)。当包括药物过量时,19-29 岁和 30-39 岁的工人的风险增加了一倍。在离职后 5 年内进行随访时,风险仍然升高。
离职的汽车工人自杀或药物过量的风险高于在职工人。那些在退休年龄前离职的人比那些退休后离职的人风险更高,这表明提前离职可能会增加风险。