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与美国 2019 年冠状病毒病危重症患者死亡相关的因素。

Factors Associated With Death in Critically Ill Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 in the US.

机构信息

Division of Renal Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.

Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.

出版信息

JAMA Intern Med. 2020 Nov 1;180(11):1436-1447. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.3596.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

The US is currently an epicenter of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, yet few national data are available on patient characteristics, treatment, and outcomes of critical illness from COVID-19.

OBJECTIVES

To assess factors associated with death and to examine interhospital variation in treatment and outcomes for patients with COVID-19.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This multicenter cohort study assessed 2215 adults with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 who were admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) at 65 hospitals across the US from March 4 to April 4, 2020.

EXPOSURES

Patient-level data, including demographics, comorbidities, and organ dysfunction, and hospital characteristics, including number of ICU beds.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was 28-day in-hospital mortality. Multilevel logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with death and to examine interhospital variation in treatment and outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 2215 patients (mean [SD] age, 60.5 [14.5] years; 1436 [64.8%] male; 1738 [78.5%] with at least 1 chronic comorbidity) were included in the study. At 28 days after ICU admission, 784 patients (35.4%) had died, 824 (37.2%) were discharged, and 607 (27.4%) remained hospitalized. At the end of study follow-up (median, 16 days; interquartile range, 8-28 days), 875 patients (39.5%) had died, 1203 (54.3%) were discharged, and 137 (6.2%) remained hospitalized. Factors independently associated with death included older age (≥80 vs <40 years of age: odds ratio [OR], 11.15; 95% CI, 6.19-20.06), male sex (OR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.19-1.90), higher body mass index (≥40 vs <25: OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.01-2.25), coronary artery disease (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.07-2.02), active cancer (OR, 2.15; 95% CI, 1.35-3.43), and the presence of hypoxemia (Pao2:Fio2<100 vs ≥300 mm Hg: OR, 2.94; 95% CI, 2.11-4.08), liver dysfunction (liver Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score of 2-4 vs 0: OR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.30-5.25), and kidney dysfunction (renal Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score of 4 vs 0: OR, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.46-4.05) at ICU admission. Patients admitted to hospitals with fewer ICU beds had a higher risk of death (<50 vs ≥100 ICU beds: OR, 3.28; 95% CI, 2.16-4.99). Hospitals varied considerably in the risk-adjusted proportion of patients who died (range, 6.6%-80.8%) and in the percentage of patients who received hydroxychloroquine, tocilizumab, and other treatments and supportive therapies.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study identified demographic, clinical, and hospital-level risk factors that may be associated with death in critically ill patients with COVID-19 and can facilitate the identification of medications and supportive therapies to improve outcomes.

摘要

重要性

美国目前是 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行的中心,但关于 COVID-19 重症患者的特征、治疗和结果的国家数据很少。

目的

评估与死亡相关的因素,并检查 COVID-19 患者的治疗和结果的医院间差异。

设计、地点和参与者:这项多中心队列研究评估了 2020 年 3 月 4 日至 4 月 4 日期间从美国 65 家医院 ICU 收治的 2215 名经实验室确诊的 COVID-19 成年患者。

暴露

包括人口统计学、合并症和器官功能障碍在内的患者水平数据,以及包括 ICU 床位数量在内的医院特征。

主要结果和措施

主要结局是 28 天院内死亡率。使用多水平逻辑回归评估与死亡相关的因素,并检查治疗和结果的医院间差异。

结果

共有 2215 例患者(平均[SD]年龄,60.5[14.5]岁;1436[64.8%]为男性;1738[78.5%]至少有 1 种慢性合并症)纳入研究。在 ICU 入院后 28 天,784 例(35.4%)患者死亡,824 例(37.2%)出院,607 例(27.4%)仍住院。在研究随访结束时(中位数为 16 天;四分位距为 8-28 天),875 例(39.5%)患者死亡,1203 例(54.3%)出院,137 例(6.2%)仍住院。与死亡独立相关的因素包括年龄较大(≥80 岁与<40 岁:比值比[OR],11.15;95%CI,6.19-20.06)、男性(OR,1.50;95%CI,1.19-1.90)、较高的身体质量指数(≥40 与<25:OR,1.51;95%CI,1.01-2.25)、冠状动脉疾病(OR,1.47;95%CI,1.07-2.02)、活动性癌症(OR,2.15;95%CI,1.35-3.43)和存在低氧血症(Pao2:Fio2<100 与≥300mmHg:OR,2.94;95%CI,2.11-4.08)、肝功能障碍(肝脏序贯器官衰竭评估评分 2-4 与 0:OR,2.61;95%CI,1.30-5.25)和肾功能障碍(肾脏序贯器官衰竭评估评分 4 与 0:OR,2.43;95%CI,1.46-4.05)。入住 ICU 时 ICU 床位较少的患者死亡风险更高(<50 与≥100 张 ICU 床位:OR,3.28;95%CI,2.16-4.99)。医院之间的风险调整后死亡率(范围为 6.6%-80.8%)和接受羟氯喹、托珠单抗和其他治疗和支持性治疗的患者比例差异很大。

结论和相关性

本研究确定了可能与 COVID-19 重症患者死亡相关的人口统计学、临床和医院水平的危险因素,并可以促进识别改善结局的药物和支持性治疗方法。

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