Department of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden; Sustainable Built Environment, RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Department of Space, Earth and Environment, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, Sweden.
J Environ Manage. 2020 Oct 15;272:111053. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111053. Epub 2020 Jul 11.
Local energy transition processes are complex socio-technical transitions requiring careful study. The use of System Dynamics (SD) in modelling and analyzing local energy transitions is especially suitable given the characteristics of SD. Our aim is to systematically categorize the different ways SD is used and useful to scrutinize local energy transitions, and to see if we can discern any common themes that can be useful to researchers looking to scrutinize local energy transitions, using SD. The study is exploratory in nature, with peer-reviewed journal and conference articles analyzed using content analysis. The six categories on which the articles are analyzed are: the sector the article studies; the transition that is studied in the article; the modelling depth in the article; the objective of the article; the justification for using SD provided in the article and the levels of interaction with 'local'. Our findings show most of the local energy transitions have been studied using simulatable Stock and Flow Diagrams in SD methodology. The important sectors in the energy field are represented in terms of SD modelling of local energy transitions, including electricity, transport, district heating etc. Most of the local energy transitions scrutinized by SD in the articles have descriptive objectives, with some prescriptive, and just one evaluative objective. In terms of justification for using SD provided by the articles analyzed in this study, we found four major themes along which the justifications that were provided. They are dynamics, feedbacks, delays and complexity, systematic thinking, bridging disciplines and actor interactions and behaviour. The 'dynamics, feedbacks, delays and complexity' theme is the most cited justification for the use of SD in scrutinizing local energy transitions, followed by systematic thinking.
本地能源转型过程是复杂的社会技术转型，需要仔细研究。鉴于系统动力学 (SD) 的特点，使用 SD 进行建模和分析本地能源转型尤其适用。我们的目的是系统地对 SD 用于分析和研究本地能源转型的不同方式进行分类，并确定是否可以发现任何有助于研究人员使用 SD 分析本地能源转型的共同主题。本研究具有探索性，使用同行评议的期刊和会议文章进行内容分析。文章分析的六个类别是：文章研究的领域；文章中研究的转型；文章中的建模深度；文章的目标；文章中提供的使用 SD 的理由；以及与“本地”的交互水平。我们的研究结果表明，使用 SD 方法学中的可模拟存量流量图研究了大多数本地能源转型。能源领域的重要部门在本地能源转型的 SD 建模中得到了体现，包括电力、交通、区域供热等。通过 SD 研究的大多数本地能源转型都具有描述性目标，其中一些具有规定性，只有一个具有评价性目标。就本研究中分析的文章提供的使用 SD 的理由而言，我们发现了四个主要主题，这些主题是提供理由的依据。它们是动态性、反馈、时滞和复杂性、系统思维、跨学科和行为的桥梁以及参与者的互动和行为。“动态性、反馈、时滞和复杂性”主题是用于研究本地能源转型的 SD 最常被引用的理由，其次是系统思维。
