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COVID-19 住院老年患者的衰弱与死亡率:回顾性观察研究。

Frailty and Mortality in Hospitalized Older Adults With COVID-19: Retrospective Observational Study.

机构信息

Geriatrics Department, Imelda Hospital, Bonheiden, Belgium.

Pulmonology and Intensive Care Medicine, Imelda Hospital, Bonheiden, Belgium.

出版信息

J Am Med Dir Assoc. 2020 Jul;21(7):928-932.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.jamda.2020.06.008. Epub 2020 Jun 9.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To determine the association between frailty and short-term mortality in older adults hospitalized for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

DESIGN

Retrospective single-center observational study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Eighty-one patients with COVID-19 confirmed by reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), at the Geriatrics department of a general hospital in Belgium.

MEASUREMENTS

Frailty was graded according to the Rockwood Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS). Demographic, biochemical, and radiologic variables, comorbidities, symptoms, and treatment were extracted from electronic medical records.

RESULTS

Participants (N = 48 women, 59%) had a median age of 85 years (range 65-97 years) and a median CFS score of 7 (range 2-9); 42 (52%) were long-term care residents. Within 6 weeks, 18 patients died. Mortality was significantly but weakly associated with age (Spearman r = 0.241, P = .03) and CFS score (r = 0.282, P = .011), baseline lactate dehydrogenase (LDH; r = 0.301, P = .009), lymphocyte count (r = -0.262, P = .02), and RT-PCR cycle threshold (Ct, r = -0.285, P = .015). Mortality was not associated with long-term care residence, dementia, delirium, or polypharmacy. In multivariable logistic regression analyses, CFS, LDH, and RT-PCR Ct (but not age) remained independently associated with mortality. Both age and frailty had poor specificity to predict survival. A multivariable model combining age, CFS, LDH, and viral load significantly predicted survival.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Although their prognosis is worse, even the oldest and most severely frail patients may benefit from hospitalization for COVID-19, if sufficient resources are available.

摘要

目的

确定 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)住院老年患者虚弱与短期死亡率之间的关联。

设计

回顾性单中心观察性研究。

地点和参与者

81 例 COVID-19 患者经逆转录酶聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)确诊,在比利时一家综合医院的老年病科。

测量

虚弱程度根据 Rockwood 临床虚弱量表(CFS)进行分级。从电子病历中提取人口统计学、生化和影像学变量、合并症、症状和治疗。

结果

参与者(48 名女性,59%)的中位年龄为 85 岁(范围 65-97 岁),中位 CFS 评分为 7 分(范围 2-9 分);42 名(52%)为长期护理居民。在 6 周内,18 名患者死亡。死亡率与年龄(Spearman r=0.241,P=0.03)和 CFS 评分(r=0.282,P=0.011)、基线乳酸脱氢酶(LDH;r=0.301,P=0.009)、淋巴细胞计数(r=-0.262,P=0.02)和 RT-PCR 循环阈值(Ct,r=-0.285,P=0.015)显著但弱相关。死亡率与长期护理居住、痴呆、谵妄或多种药物治疗无关。多变量逻辑回归分析中,CFS、LDH 和 RT-PCR Ct(而非年龄)与死亡率独立相关。年龄和虚弱程度对预测生存率的特异性均较差。结合年龄、CFS、LDH 和病毒载量的多变量模型显著预测了生存率。

结论和意义

尽管预后较差,但如果有足够的资源,即使是最年长和最虚弱的患者也可能从 COVID-19 住院中受益。

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