A method for evaluating systems of epidemiological surveillance.

Epidemiological surveillance is the systematic collection, analysis and dissemination of health data for the planning, implementation and evaluation of public health programmes. Established surveillance systems should be regularly reviewed on the basis of explicit criteria of usefulness, cost and quality; systems should be modified as a result of such review. Attributes of quality include: (i) sensitivity, (ii) specificity, (iii) representativeness, (iv) timeliness, (v) simplicity, (vi) flexibility and (vii) acceptability. To date, evaluation of surveillance systems has been limited in scope and content. The evaluation method proposed in this article offers an organized approach to the evaluation of epidemiological surveillance systems. The usefulness of a surveillance system is measured by whether it leads to prevention or control or a better understanding of adverse health events. The measure can be qualitative, in terms of the subjective views of those using the system, or quantitative in terms of the impact of surveillance data on policies, interventions or the occurrence of a health event. The cost of a system includes indirect as well as direct costs, and should be measured in relation to the benefits obtained, such as reduction of medical-care expenses and of time lost from work. All elements of the system should be included in the cost: data collection, analysis and dissemination. The sensitivity of a surveillance system is its ability to detect health events (completeness of reporting). Its specificity is inversely proportional to the number of false positives it reports. Reports of a disease that do not meet the case definition are false positives, and may result in resources being wasted in investigating them.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)