Occupational and Environmental Epidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, 9609 Medical Center Dr., Rockville, MD 20850, USA.
Aarhus University, Department of Environmental Science, Frederiksborgvej 399, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark.
Environ Int. 2020 Oct;143:105955. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2020.105955. Epub 2020 Jul 22.
Living in an agricultural area or on farms has been associated with increased risk of childhood cancer but few studies have evaluated specific agricultural exposures. We prospectively examined residential proximity to crops and animals during pregnancy and risk of childhood leukemia and central nervous system (CNS) tumors in Denmark.
The Danish National Birth Cohort (DNBC) consists of 91,769 pregnant women (96,841 live-born children) enrolled in 1996-2003. For 61 childhood leukemias and 59 CNS tumors <15 years of age that were diagnosed through 2014 and a ~10% random sample of the live births (N = 9394) with geocoded addresses, we linked pregnancy addresses to crop fields and animal farm locations and estimated the crop area (hectares [ha]) and number of animals (standardized by their nitrogen emissions) by type within 250 meters (m), 500 m, 1000 m, and 2000 m of the home. We also estimated pesticide applications (grams, active ingredient) based on annual sales data for nine herbicides and one fungicide that were estimated to have been applied to >30% of the area of one or more crop. We used Cox proportional hazard models (weighted to the full cohort) to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association of childhood leukemia and CNS tumors with crop area, animals, and pesticide applications adjusted for gender and maternal age.
Sixty-three percent of mothers had crops within 500 m of their homes during pregnancy; winter and spring cereals were the major crop types. Compared to mothers with no crops <500 m, we found increasing risk of childhood leukemia among offspring of mothers with increasing crop area near their home (highest tertile >24 ha HR: 2.0, CI:1.02-3.8), which was stronger after adjustment for animals (within 1000 m) (HR: 2.6, CI:1.02-6.8). We also observed increased risk for grass/clover (highest tertile >1.1 ha HR: 3.1, CI:1.2-7.7), peas (>0 HR: 2.4, CI: 1.02-5.4), and maize (>0 HR: 2.8, CI: 1.1-6.9) in animal-adjusted models. We found no association between number of animals near homes and leukemia risk. Crops, total number of animals, and hogs within 500 m of the home were not associated with CNS tumors but we observed an increased risk with >median cattle compared with no animals in crop-adjusted models (HR = 2.2, CI: 1.02-4.9). In models adjusted for total animals, the highest tertiles of use of three herbicides and one fungicide were associated with elevated risk of leukemia but no associations were statistically significant; there were no associations with CNS tumors.
Risk of childhood leukemia was associated with higher crop area near mothers' homes during pregnancy; CNS tumors were associated with higher cattle density. Quantitative estimates of crop pesticides and other agricultural exposures are needed to clarify possible reasons for these increased risks.
居住在农业区或农场附近与儿童癌症风险增加有关,但很少有研究评估特定的农业暴露。我们前瞻性地研究了丹麦孕妇怀孕期间居住地与农作物和动物的接近程度与儿童白血病和中枢神经系统(CNS)肿瘤的风险。
丹麦全国出生队列(DNBC)由 1996-2003 年期间招募的 91769 名孕妇(96841 名活产婴儿)组成。对于通过 2014 年诊断的 61 例儿童白血病和 59 例<15 岁的中枢神经系统肿瘤,以及活产婴儿的约 10%随机样本(n=9394),我们将妊娠地址与农作物和动物养殖场的位置进行了链接,并在 250 米(m)、500 m、1000 m 和 2000 m 范围内估算了家庭内每种类型的作物面积(公顷[ha])和动物数量(按其氮排放量标准化)。我们还根据九种除草剂和一种杀菌剂的年度销售数据估算了农药的使用量(克,有效成分),这些数据估计有超过 30%的面积使用了一种或多种作物。我们使用 Cox 比例风险模型(加权到整个队列),根据性别和母亲年龄调整,估计儿童白血病和中枢神经系统肿瘤与作物面积、动物和农药使用的风险比(HR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。
63%的母亲在怀孕期间家中有农作物;冬季和春季谷物是主要的作物类型。与家中<500 m 没有农作物的母亲相比,我们发现家中有农作物的母亲的子女患白血病的风险随着家中附近农作物面积的增加而增加(最高 tertile >24 ha HR:2.0,CI:1.02-3.8),在调整动物因素(<1000 m)后更强(HR:2.6,CI:1.02-6.8)。我们还观察到在调整动物因素后的模型中,草/三叶草(最高 tertile >1.1 ha HR:3.1,CI:1.2-7.7)、豌豆(>0 HR:2.4,CI:1.02-5.4)和玉米(>0 HR:2.8,CI:1.1-6.9)的风险增加。我们没有发现家中附近动物数量与白血病风险之间的关联。在调整农作物后,家中附近的动物数量和猪与中枢神经系统肿瘤无关,但我们观察到与无动物相比,中位数以上的牛与中枢神经系统肿瘤的风险增加(HR=2.2,CI:1.02-4.9)。在调整总动物后,三种除草剂和一种杀菌剂的最高 tertiles 使用与白血病风险增加有关,但没有统计学意义上的关联;与中枢神经系统肿瘤没有关联。
儿童白血病的风险与母亲怀孕期间家中附近的农作物面积增加有关;中枢神经系统肿瘤与牛密度增加有关。需要对农作物农药和其他农业暴露的定量估计进行研究,以阐明这些增加风险的可能原因。