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时间偏好及其与生活结果的相关性:来自代表性调查的证据。

Time preferences and their life outcome correlates: Evidence from a representative survey.

机构信息

Center for Economic and Regional Studies, Institute of Economics (KRTK KTI), Budapest, Hungary.

Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, Hungary.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2020 Jul 30;15(7):e0236486. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0236486. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

We collect data on time preferences of a representative sample of the Hungarian adult population in a non-incentivized way and investigate how patience and present bias associate with important life outcomes in five domains: i) educational attainment, ii) unemployment, iii) income and wealth, iv) financial decisions and difficulties, and v) health. Based on the literature, we formulate the broad hypotheses that patience relates positively, while present bias associates negatively with positive outcomes in the domains under study. With the exception of unemployment, we document a consistent and often significant positive relationship between patience and the corresponding domain, with the strongest associations in educational attainment, wealth and financial decisions. We find that present bias associates significantly with saving decisions and financial difficulties.

摘要

我们以非激励的方式收集了代表性的匈牙利成年人群体的时间偏好数据,并研究了耐心和当前偏见如何与五个领域的重要生活结果相关联:i)教育程度,ii)失业,iii)收入和财富,iv)财务决策和困难,以及 v)健康。根据文献,我们提出了广泛的假设,即耐心与研究领域的积极结果呈正相关,而当前偏见则呈负相关。除了失业,我们记录了耐心与相应领域之间存在一致且通常显著的正相关关系,在教育程度、财富和财务决策方面的关联最为紧密。我们发现当前偏见与储蓄决策和财务困难显著相关。

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