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重症监护病房患者的死亡率预测因素及相关因素:一项横断面研究。

Mortality Predictors and Associated Factors in Patients in the Intensive Care Unit: A Cross-Sectional Study.

作者信息

Soares Pinheiro Fernanda G de M, Santana Santos Eduesley, Barreto Íkaro Daniel de C, Weiss Carleara, Vaez Andreia C, Oliveira Jussiely C, Melo Matheus S, Silva Francilene A

机构信息

Nursing Department, Federal University of Sergipe, Lagarto, Sergipe, Brazil.

Graduate Program in Nursing, Federal University of Sergipe, São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil.

出版信息

Crit Care Res Pract. 2020 Aug 1;2020:1483827. doi: 10.1155/2020/1483827. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU) has been associated to an array of risk factors. Identification of risk factors potentially contribute to predict and reduce mortality rates in the ICU. The objectives of the study were to determine the prevalence and the factors associated with the mortality and to analyze the survival.

METHOD

A cross-sectional study conducted in two clinical and surgical ICU in the state of Sergipe, northeastern Brazil. We enrolled 316 patients with at least 48 h of hospitalization, minimum age of 18 years old, sedated or weaned, with RASS ≥ -3, between July 2017 and April 2018. We categorized data in (1) age and gender, (2) clinical condition, and (3) prevalence of delirium. Data from enrolled patients were collected from enrollment until death or ICU discharge. Patients' outcomes were categorized in (1) death and (2) nondeath (discharge).

RESULTS

Twenty-one percent of participants died. Age (53 ± 17 years . 45 ± 18 years, < 0.01), electrolyte disturbance (30.3% 18.1%, =0.029), glycemic index (33.3% 18.2%, =0.008), tube feeding (83.3% vs 67.1%, =0.01), mechanical ventilation (50% 35.7%, =0.035), sedation with fentanyl (24.2 13.6, =0.035), use of insulin (33.8% 21.7%, =0.042), and higher Charlson score (2.61 2.17, =0.041) were significantly associated with death on the adjusted model. However, the regression model indicated that patients admitted from the emergency (HR = 0.40, =0.006) and glycemic index alterations (HR = 1.68, =0.047) were associated with mortality. There was no statistically significant difference (=0.540) in survival between patients with and without delirium, based on the survival analysis and length of hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of death was 21%, and age, electrolyte disturbance, glycemic index, tube feeding, mechanical ventilation, sedation with fentanyl, use of insulin, and higher Charlson score were associated with mortality.

摘要

背景

重症监护病房(ICU)的死亡率与一系列风险因素相关。识别风险因素可能有助于预测和降低ICU的死亡率。本研究的目的是确定死亡率的患病率及其相关因素,并分析生存率。

方法

在巴西东北部塞尔希培州的两个临床和外科ICU进行了一项横断面研究。我们纳入了2017年7月至2018年4月期间住院至少48小时、最低年龄18岁、已镇静或已脱机、RASS≥ -3的316例患者。我们将数据分类为:(1)年龄和性别;(2)临床状况;(3)谵妄的患病率。从纳入患者开始收集数据,直至死亡或从ICU出院。患者的结局分为:(1)死亡;(2)非死亡(出院)。

结果

21%的参与者死亡。在调整模型中,年龄(53±17岁对45±18岁,P<0.01)、电解质紊乱(30.3%对18.1%,P = 0.029)、血糖指数(33.3%对18.2%,P = 0.008)、管饲(83.3%对67.1%,P = 0.01)、机械通气(50%对35.7%,P = 0.035)、芬太尼镇静(24.2对13.6,P = 0.035)、胰岛素使用(33.8%对21.7%,P = 0.042)以及较高的查尔森评分(2.61对2.17,P = 0.041)与死亡显著相关。然而,回归模型表明,急诊入院的患者(HR = 0.40,P = 0.006)和血糖指数改变(HR = 1.68,P = 0.047)与死亡率相关。根据生存分析和住院时间,有谵妄和无谵妄患者的生存率无统计学显著差异(P = 0.540)。

结论

死亡率为21%,年龄、电解质紊乱、血糖指数、管饲喂养机械通气、芬太尼镇静、胰岛素使用以及较高的查尔森评分与死亡率相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a0c5/7416226/9b09512ba9e8/CCRP2020-1483827.001.jpg

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