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希腊金融危机爆发后完成自杀的特征:一项比较时间序列分析研究。

Characteristics of completed suicides after Greek financial crisis onset: A comparative time-series analysis study.

机构信息

Psychiatric Hospital of Attica "Dafni", 374 Athinon Ave, Postal Code 12462, Athens, Greece.

2nd Department of Psychiatry, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, "Attikon" General Hospital, Athens, Greece.

出版信息

Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2021 Feb;56(2):305-314. doi: 10.1007/s00127-020-01939-0. Epub 2020 Aug 14.

Abstract

Severe financial crises could influence a country's suicide trends and characteristics. We aimed to highlight differences among suicide completers before and after the onset of Greece's serious debt crisis of 2010 based exclusively on forensic data. The sample's size permitted a further elaboration by means of a time series analysis too. Data were collected from the Piraeus Department of Forensic Medicine for the period 1992-2016. We extracted information on sociodemographic parameters, psychiatric medication and alcohol intake, suicide method, place and month of suicide. The "after crisis onset" group (2011-2016) was significantly older (p = 0.039)-primarily due to differences in the 55-64 age group-, had more frequently used psychiatric medications (p < 0.001), less often alcohol (p = 0.001) and died more frequently by immolation (p = 0.001). These differences were-almost exclusively-due to changes regarding male suicidal behavior. Time series analysis indicates that no strong increasing trend in total (male + female) suicide count can be observed, despite a local increase in 2009-2010. Antidepressant-positive suicides show an increase after 2010, whereas alcohol-positive suicides show a decrease. Future predicted forecasts for antidepressant-positive suicides indicate a decrease (from 5.6 per year in 2018 to 4.3 per year in 2025) whereas an increase is predicted in alcohol-positive suicides (7.7 per year in 2017, 9.36 per year in 2025). Middle-aged men, compared to middle-aged women, presumably found it harder to adjust to economic hardship after the crisis onset. Finally, comparatively more men than women who died by suicide appear to have started and/or complied with psychiatric treatment after 2010.

摘要

严重的金融危机可能会影响一个国家的自杀趋势和特征。我们旨在根据法医数据专门强调 2010 年希腊严重债务危机前后自杀者的差异。该样本的规模还允许进行时间序列分析。数据是从比雷埃夫斯法医学系收集的,时间跨度为 1992 年至 2016 年。我们提取了社会人口统计学参数、精神科药物和酒精摄入、自杀方式、自杀地点和月份的信息。“危机后时期”(2011-2016 年)组的年龄明显更大(p=0.039),主要是因为 55-64 岁年龄组的差异,更频繁地使用精神科药物(p<0.001),较少使用酒精(p=0.001),更多地死于自焚(p=0.001)。这些差异几乎完全是由于男性自杀行为的变化所致。时间序列分析表明,尽管 2009-2010 年局部有所增加,但不能观察到总(男性+女性)自杀人数的强劲增长趋势。抗抑郁药阳性自杀者在 2010 年后有所增加,而酒精阳性自杀者则有所减少。对抗抑郁药阳性自杀者的未来预测显示,自杀人数将减少(从 2018 年的每年 5.6 人降至 2025 年的每年 4.3 人),而酒精阳性自杀者的自杀人数预计会增加(2017 年每年 7.7 人,2025 年每年 9.36 人)。中年男性与中年女性相比,在危机爆发后可能更难适应经济困难。最后,与女性相比,在危机爆发后开始并/或接受精神科治疗的自杀男性似乎更多。

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