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与 COVID-19 感染相关的严重结局的年龄相关风险:快速综述、荟萃分析和荟萃回归。

The Age-Related Risk of Severe Outcomes Due to COVID-19 Infection: A Rapid Review, Meta-Analysis, and Meta-Regression.

机构信息

Institute and Policlinic of Occupational and Social Medicine (IPAS), Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Technische Universität Dresden, 01307 Dresden, Germany.

Division of Occupational Health, Department of Occupational Safety and Environment, Regional Government of South Hesse, 65197 Wiesbaden, Germany.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Aug 17;17(16):5974. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17165974.

Abstract

Increased age appears to be a strong risk factor for COVID-19 severe outcomes. However, studies do not sufficiently consider the age-dependency of other important factors influencing the course of disease. The aim of this review was to quantify the isolated effect of age on severe COVID-19 outcomes. We searched Pubmed to find relevant studies published in 2020. Two independent reviewers evaluated them using predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. We extracted the results and assessed seven domains of bias for each study. After adjusting for important age-related risk factors, the isolated effect of age was estimated using meta-regression. Twelve studies met our inclusion criteria: four studies for COVID-19 disease severity, seven for mortality, and one for admission to ICU. The crude effect of age (5.2% and 13.4% higher risk of disease severity and death per age year, respectively) substantially decreased when adjusting for important age-dependent risk factors (diabetes, hypertension, coronary heart disease/cerebrovascular disease, compromised immunity, previous respiratory disease, renal disease). Adjusting for all six comorbidities indicates a 2.7% risk increase for disease severity (two studies), and no additional risk of death per year of age (five studies). The indication of a rather weak influence of age on COVID-19 disease severity after adjustment for important age-dependent risk factors should be taken in consideration when implementing age-related preventative measures (e.g., age-dependent work restrictions).

摘要

年龄增长似乎是 COVID-19 重症结局的一个强危险因素。然而,研究并没有充分考虑到其他影响疾病进程的重要因素的年龄依赖性。本综述的目的是量化年龄对严重 COVID-19 结局的单独影响。我们在 Pubmed 上搜索了 2020 年发表的相关研究。两名独立的审查员使用预先确定的纳入和排除标准对其进行评估。我们提取了结果,并对每项研究的七个偏倚领域进行了评估。在调整了与年龄相关的重要危险因素后,我们使用荟萃回归估计了年龄的单独影响。有 12 项研究符合我们的纳入标准:4 项研究用于 COVID-19 疾病严重程度,7 项研究用于死亡率,1 项研究用于 ICU 入院率。当调整重要的年龄依赖性危险因素(糖尿病、高血压、冠心病/脑血管病、免疫功能受损、既往呼吸道疾病、肾病)时,年龄的粗效应(疾病严重程度和死亡的风险分别增加 5.2%和 13.4%)显著降低。调整所有 6 种合并症表明疾病严重程度的风险增加 2.7%(两项研究),而每年因年龄增长而死亡的风险没有增加(五项研究)。在调整了与年龄相关的重要危险因素后,年龄对 COVID-19 疾病严重程度的影响较弱,这一结果在实施与年龄相关的预防措施(例如,年龄相关的工作限制)时应加以考虑。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b50e/7460443/445734593b4d/ijerph-17-05974-g001.jpg

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