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新冠疫情期间的自由与股票市场表现。

Freedom and stock market performance during Covid-19 outbreak.

作者信息

Erdem Orhan

机构信息

Puri School of Business, Rockford University, 5100 E State St. Rockford, IL, 61108, USA.

出版信息

Financ Res Lett. 2020 Oct;36:101671. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101671. Epub 2020 Jun 28.

Abstract

•The number of Covid-19 pandemic cases per million has significant negative effects on global financial markets.•The adverse effects of the coronavirus on the stock markets are less in freer countries. In other words, the stock markets of less-free countries are affected more by the same size of increase in the number of coronavirus cases.•For every increase in the growth of number of Covid-19 cases per million, the stock market returns in freer countries are associated with less return decreases.•Even though the growth of the number of Covid-19 cases per million increases the volatility in less-free countries, its effect on freer countries is not statistically different from zero.

摘要

•每百万人口中新冠疫情病例数对全球金融市场有显著负面影响。

•在自由度更高的国家,冠状病毒对股票市场的不利影响较小。换句话说,在自由度较低的国家,相同数量增长的冠状病毒病例对股票市场的影响更大。

•每百万人口中新冠病例数增长每增加一个单位,自由度更高国家的股票市场回报所伴随的回报下降幅度就越小。

•尽管每百万人口中新冠病例数的增长增加了自由度较低国家的波动性,但其对自由度较高国家的影响在统计上与零无差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cd97/7321658/e781f9f86e92/gr1_lrg.jpg

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