Department of Economics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA.
Department of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA.
Am Econ Rev. 2016 Apr;106(4):855-902. doi: 10.1257/aer.20150572.
The Moving to Opportunity (MTO) experiment offered randomly selected families housing vouchers to move from high-poverty housing projects to lower-poverty neighborhoods. We analyze MTO's impacts on children's long-term outcomes using tax data. We find that moving to a lower-poverty neighborhood when young (before age 13) increases college attendance and earnings and reduces single parenthood rates. Moving as an adolescent has slightly negative impacts, perhaps because of disruption effects. The decline in the gains from moving with the age when children move suggests that the duration of exposure to better environments during childhood is an important determinant of children’s long-term outcomes.
“迁居机会”(MTO)实验为随机选择的家庭提供住房券,以将他们从高贫困住房项目搬迁到较低贫困的社区。我们使用税务数据分析了 MTO 对儿童长期结果的影响。我们发现,年轻时(13 岁之前)搬到贫困程度较低的社区会增加上大学的比例和收入,降低单亲家庭的比例。青少年时期搬家的影响略为负面,这可能是因为有中断效应。随着孩子搬家年龄的增长,搬家带来的收益下降,这表明儿童在童年时期接触更好环境的持续时间是其长期结果的一个重要决定因素。