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检测时间序列何时不同:使用时间序列的自举差异(BDOTS)分析视觉世界范式数据(及更多)。

Detecting when timeseries differ: Using the Bootstrapped Differences of Timeseries (BDOTS) to analyze Visual World Paradigm data (and more).

作者信息

Seedorff Michael, Oleson Jacob, McMurray Bob

机构信息

Dept. of Biostatistics, University of Iowa.

Dept. of Psychological and Brain Sciences, Dept. of Communication Sciences and Disorders, Dept. of Linguistics, University of Iowa.

出版信息

J Mem Lang. 2018 Oct;102:55-67. doi: 10.1016/j.jml.2018.05.004. Epub 2018 May 25.

Abstract

In the last decades, major advances in the language sciences have been built on real-time measures of language and cognitive processing, measures like mouse-tracking, event related potentials and eye-tracking in the visual world paradigm. These measures yield densely sampled timeseries that can be highly revealing of the dynamics of cognitive processing. However, despite these methodological advances, existing statistical approaches for timeseries analyses have often lagged behind. Here, we present a new statistical approach, the Bootstrapped Differences of Timeseries (BDOTS), that can estimate the precise timewindow at which two timeseries differ. BDOTS makes minimal assumptions about the error distribution, uses a custom family-wise error correction, and can flexibly be adapted to a variety of applications. This manuscript presents the theoretical basis of this approach, describes implementational issues (in the associated R package), and illustrates this technique with an analysis of an existing dataset. Pitfalls and hazards are also discussed, along with suggestions for reporting in the literature.

摘要

在过去几十年中,语言科学的重大进展建立在语言和认知加工的实时测量基础之上,这些测量方法包括鼠标追踪、事件相关电位以及视觉世界范式中的眼动追踪等。这些测量方法产生了密集采样的时间序列,能够高度揭示认知加工的动态过程。然而,尽管有这些方法上的进步,现有的时间序列分析统计方法往往滞后。在此,我们提出一种新的统计方法——时间序列的自抽样差异法(BDOTS),它能够估计两个时间序列产生差异的精确时间窗口。BDOTS对误差分布的假设极少,采用了自定义的族错误校正方法,并且能够灵活地应用于各种场景。本论文阐述了该方法的理论基础,描述了实施问题(在相关的R包中),并通过对现有数据集的分析来说明这项技术。我们还讨论了该方法的陷阱和风险,以及文献报告方面的建议。

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