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湖南省2019年冠状病毒病的流行特征

Epidemic features of coronavirus disease 2019 in Hunan Province.

作者信息

Mao Yitao, Zeng Huihui, Wang Ying, Xiao Juxiong, Yang Wei, Zhou Gaofeng, Liao Weihua

机构信息

Department of Radiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410008, China.

Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410011, China.

出版信息

Zhong Nan Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban. 2020 May 28;45(5):576-581. doi: 10.11817/j.issn.1672-7347.2020.200265.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To explore and analyze the epidemic features of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Hunan Province from January 21, 2020 to March 14, 2020, as well as to investigate the COVID-19 epidemics in each city of Hunan Province.

METHODS

The epidemic data was obtained from the official website of Hunan Province's Health Commission. The data of each city of Hunan Province was analyzed separately. Spatial distribution of cumulative confirmed COVID-19 patients and the cumulative occurrence rate was drawn by ArcGIS software for each city in Hunan Province. Some regional indexes were also compared with that in the whole country.

RESULTS

The first patient was diagnosed in January 21, sustained patient growth reached its plateau in around February 17. Up to March 14, the cumulative confirmed COVID-19 patients stopped at 1 018. The cumulative occurrence rate of COVID-19 patients was 0.48 per 0.1 million person. The number of cumulative severe patients was 150 and the number of cumulative dead patients was 4. The mortality rate (0.39%) and the cure rate (99.6%) in Hunan Province was significantly lower and higher respectively than the corresponding average rate in the whole country (0.90% and 96.2%, Hubei excluded). The first 3 cities in numbers of the confirmed patients were Changsha, Yueyang, and Shaoyang. While sorted by the cumulative occurrence rate, the first 3 cities in incidence were Changsha, Yueyang, and Zhuzhou.

CONCLUSIONS

The epidemic of COVID-19 spread out smoothly in Hunan Province. The cities in Hunan Province implement anti-disease strategies based on specific situations on their own and keep the epidemic in the range of controllable.

摘要

目的

探讨分析2020年1月21日至2020年3月14日湖南省新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)的流行特征,并对湖南省各市的COVID-19疫情进行调查。

方法

疫情数据来源于湖南省卫生健康委员会官方网站。对湖南省各市的数据分别进行分析。利用ArcGIS软件绘制湖南省各市COVID-19累计确诊患者的空间分布及累计发病率。还将部分地区指标与全国数据进行了比较。

结果

首例患者于1月21日确诊,患者持续增长在2月17日左右达到高峰。截至3月14日,COVID-19累计确诊患者为1018例。COVID-19患者的累计发病率为每10万人0.48例。累计重症患者150例,累计死亡患者4例。湖南省的死亡率(0.39%)和治愈率(99.6%)分别显著低于和高于全国相应平均水平(不包括湖北,全国平均死亡率为0.90%,治愈率为96.2%)。确诊患者数量排名前3的城市为长沙、岳阳和邵阳。按累计发病率排序,发病率排名前3的城市为长沙、岳阳和株洲。

结论

COVID-19疫情在湖南省平稳传播。湖南省各市根据自身具体情况实施抗疫策略,将疫情控制在可控范围内。

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