College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Bunderstr. 53, 20146, Hamburg, Germany.
Nat Commun. 2020 Sep 4;11(1):4422. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-18203-3.
The ocean is a sink for ~25% of the atmospheric CO emitted by human activities, an amount in excess of 2 petagrams of carbon per year (PgC yr). Time-resolved estimates of global ocean-atmosphere CO flux provide an important constraint on the global carbon budget. However, previous estimates of this flux, derived from surface ocean CO concentrations, have not corrected the data for temperature gradients between the surface and sampling at a few meters depth, or for the effect of the cool ocean surface skin. Here we calculate a time history of ocean-atmosphere CO fluxes from 1992 to 2018, corrected for these effects. These increase the calculated net flux into the oceans by 0.8-0.9 PgC yr, at times doubling uncorrected values. We estimate uncertainties using multiple interpolation methods, finding convergent results for fluxes globally after 2000, or over the Northern Hemisphere throughout the period. Our corrections reconcile surface uptake with independent estimates of the increase in ocean CO inventory, and suggest most ocean models underestimate uptake.
海洋是大气中人类活动排放的~25%的二氧化碳的汇,每年超过 2 千万吨碳(PgC 年)。对全球海洋-大气 CO 通量的时变估计为全球碳预算提供了一个重要的约束。然而,以前从表层海洋 CO 浓度推断出的这种通量估计,并没有根据表层和几米线深的采样之间的温度梯度,或海洋表面冷皮层的影响来校正数据。在这里,我们计算了 1992 年至 2018 年期间海洋-大气 CO 通量的时间变化,对这些影响进行了校正。这些校正增加了计算得出的海洋净通量,增加了 0.8-0.9 千万吨碳年,有时是未校正值的两倍。我们使用多种插值方法来估计不确定性,在 2000 年后,或在整个时期的北半球,我们发现全球通量的结果趋于一致。我们的校正使表层吸收与海洋 CO 储量增加的独立估计值相协调,并表明大多数海洋模型低估了吸收量。