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中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值和血小板与淋巴细胞比值预测 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)住院患者的全因死亡率:单中心回顾性队列研究。

Ratios of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet-to-lymphocyte predict all-cause mortality in inpatients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): a retrospective cohort study in a single medical centre.

机构信息

Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University, Harbin, 150081, China.

Department of Respiration, Harbin City First Hospital, Harbin, 150081, China.

出版信息

Epidemiol Infect. 2020 Sep 9;148:e211. doi: 10.1017/S0950268820002071.

Abstract

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a public health emergency of international concern. The current study aims to explore whether the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are associated with the development of death in patients with COVID-19. A total of 131 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 from 13 February 2020 to 14 March 2020 in a hospital in Wuhan designated for treating COVID-19 were enrolled in the current study. These 131 patients had a median age of 64 years old (interquartile range: 56-71 years old). Furthermore, among these patients, 111 (91.8%) patients were discharged and 12 (9.2%) patients died in the hospital. The pooled analysis revealed that the NLR at admission was significantly elevated for non-survivors, when compared to survivors (P < 0.001). The NLR of 3.338 was associated with all-cause mortality, with a sensitivity of 100.0% and a specificity of 84.0% (area under the curve (AUC): 0.963, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.911-1.000; P < 0.001). In view of the small number of deaths (n = 12) in the current study, NLR of 2.306 might have potential value for helping clinicians to identify patients with severe COVID-19, with a sensitivity of 100.0% and a specificity of 56.7% (AUC: 0.729, 95% CI 0.563-0.892; P = 0.063). The NLR was significantly associated with the development of death in patients with COVID-19. Hence, NLR is a useful biomarker to predict the all-cause mortality of COVID-19.

摘要

新型冠状病毒病 2019(COVID-19)是由严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)引起的国际关注的公共卫生紧急事件。本研究旨在探讨中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)和血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)是否与 COVID-19 患者的死亡发展有关。

本研究共纳入了 2020 年 2 月 13 日至 3 月 14 日期间在武汉市一家专门治疗 COVID-19 的医院确诊的 131 例 COVID-19 患者。这些患者的中位年龄为 64 岁(四分位距:56-71 岁)。此外,111 例(91.8%)患者出院,12 例(9.2%)患者在医院死亡。

汇总分析显示,与幸存者相比,非幸存者入院时的 NLR 显著升高(P < 0.001)。NLR 为 3.338 时与全因死亡率相关,其敏感性为 100.0%,特异性为 84.0%(曲线下面积(AUC):0.963,95%置信区间(CI)0.911-1.000;P < 0.001)。

鉴于本研究死亡人数较少(n = 12),NLR 为 2.306 可能有助于临床医生识别重症 COVID-19 患者,其敏感性为 100.0%,特异性为 56.7%(AUC:0.729,95%CI 0.563-0.892;P = 0.063)。

NLR 与 COVID-19 患者的死亡发展显著相关。因此,NLR 是预测 COVID-19 全因死亡率的有用生物标志物。

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