Lu Chuhan, Kong Yang, Guan Zhaoyong
Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change/Collaborative Innovation Center On Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China.
Sci Rep. 2020 Sep 14;10(1):15011. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-71831-z.
The applications of machine learning/deep learning (ML/DL) methods in meteorology have developed considerably in recent years. Massive amounts of meteorological data are conducive to improving the training effect and model performance of ML/DL, but the establishment of training datasets is often time consuming, especially in the context of supervised learning. In this paper, to identify the two-dimensional (2D) structures of extratropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere, a quasi-supervised reidentification method for extratropical cyclones is proposed. This method first uses a traditional automatic cyclone identification method to construct a trainable labeled dataset and then reidentifies extratropical cyclones in a quasi-supervised fashion by using a (pre-trained) Mask region-based convolutional neural network (Mask R-CNN) model. In comparison, the new method increases the number of identified cyclones by 8.29%, effectively supplementing the traditional method. The newly recognized cyclones are mainly shallow or moderately deep subsynoptic-scale cyclones. However, a considerable portion of the new cyclones along the coastlines of the oceans are accompanied by strong winds. In addition, the Mask R-CNN model also shows good performance in identifying the horizontal structures of tropical cyclones. The quasi-supervised concept proposed in this paper may shed some light on accurate target identification in other research fields.
近年来,机器学习/深度学习(ML/DL)方法在气象学中的应用有了长足发展。大量的气象数据有助于提高ML/DL的训练效果和模型性能,但训练数据集的建立往往耗时较长,尤其是在监督学习的背景下。本文为识别北半球温带气旋的二维(2D)结构,提出了一种温带气旋的准监督重新识别方法。该方法首先使用传统的自动气旋识别方法构建一个可训练的标记数据集,然后使用(预训练的)基于掩膜区域的卷积神经网络(Mask R-CNN)模型以准监督方式重新识别温带气旋。相比之下,新方法识别出的气旋数量增加了8.29%,有效补充了传统方法。新识别出的气旋主要是浅或中度深度的次天气尺度气旋。然而,沿海岸线的相当一部分新气旋伴有强风。此外,Mask R-CNN模型在识别热带气旋的水平结构方面也表现出良好性能。本文提出的准监督概念可能为其他研究领域的精确目标识别提供一些启示。