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天气导致 COVID-19 传播的假设是一个神话还是现实?来自俄罗斯联邦的证据。

Is the weather-induced COVID-19 spread hypothesis a myth or reality? Evidence from the Russian Federation.

机构信息

Department of Management, South Ural State University, Chelyabinsk, Russia.

School of Tourism and Hotel Management, Bahçeşehir Cyprus University, Via Mersin 10, Mustafa Kemal Caddesi, Osmanlar Sokak No: 1, Alakoy, Lefkosa, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Jan;28(4):4840-4844. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-10808-x. Epub 2020 Sep 19.

Abstract

Several conspiracy theories and hypotheses have been postulated by some individuals from various strata of governance globally concerning the outbreak and spread of the novel coronavirus in the last quarter of 2019. A pertinent hypothesis is the correlation of meteorological elements to the spread of the pandemic. To verify this claim and also confirm the initial findings of Tosepu et al.'s (2020), this study investigated the Spearman rank-order correlation of the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the Russian Federation with temperature-maximum, minimum, and average as well as precipitation. Our findings indicated a stronger correlation between average temperature (r = 0.75) and also recorded significant correlations for the other variants of temperature. Hence, the hypothesis of weather-induced COVID-19 spread is substantiated.

摘要

一些来自全球不同治理阶层的个人提出了一些关于 2019 年最后一个季度新型冠状病毒爆发和传播的阴谋论和假设。一个相关的假设是气象要素与大流行传播之间的相关性。为了验证这一说法,并证实 Tosepu 等人(2020 年)的初步发现,本研究调查了俄罗斯联邦确诊 COVID-19 病例数与温度最大值、最小值和平均值以及降水量之间的斯皮尔曼等级相关。我们的研究结果表明,平均温度(r = 0.75)之间存在更强的相关性,并且其他温度变体也记录到了显著的相关性。因此,天气引起 COVID-19 传播的假设得到了证实。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/87de/7500989/81147ee599ab/11356_2020_10808_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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