Department of Anthropology, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Int J Health Serv. 2021 Jan;51(1):14-17. doi: 10.1177/0020731420960345. Epub 2020 Sep 23.
The goal of this analysis is to estimate the proportion of COVID-19 deaths attributable to President Donald Trump's early pronouncements about voluntary mask use and his intention not to use masks. Data from available research were used to estimate parameters for the calculation of population attributable risk for COVID-19 deaths reported to date. Assuming Trump's pronouncement to have caused 25%, 50%, and 75% of the non-use of masks, estimates of Trump-attributable COVID-19 deaths to date would be, respectively, 4,244, 8,356, or 12,202. The effects of presidential pronouncements on health-related matters may have large public health consequences. Pronouncements of national leaders should be based on the best available science.
本分析旨在估算唐纳德·特朗普总统早期关于自愿戴口罩的声明以及他不戴口罩的意图导致的 COVID-19 死亡人数的比例。使用现有研究中的数据来估算计算截至目前报告的 COVID-19 死亡人数的人群归因风险的参数。假设特朗普的声明导致 25%、50%和 75%的人不戴口罩，那么截至目前，特朗普归因于 COVID-19 的死亡人数将分别为 4244、8356 或 12202 人。总统声明对与健康有关的事项的影响可能会产生重大公共卫生后果。国家领导人的声明应该基于现有最佳科学。
