Barak-Corren Yuval, Horovits Yair, Erlichman Matti, Picard Elie
Pediatric Department, Shaare Zedek Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel.
Predictive Medicine Group, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Acta Paediatr. 2021 Mar;110(3):970-976. doi: 10.1111/apa.15580. Epub 2020 Oct 8.
To measure the prognostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP) and its ability to predict pneumonia-associated complications.
A 3.75-years retrospective cohort analysis of all paediatric emergency department visits with a discharge diagnosis of pneumonia. Visits where CRP was not measured or with a discharge diagnosis of viral pneumonia were excluded. The following five outcomes were studied: hospitalisation, presence of parapneumonic effusion (PPE), placement of a chest drain, admission to paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) and bacteremia. A multivariate model was constructed and validated using k-fold cross-validation.
During the study time period, there were 2561 visits for pneumonia, of which 810 were included in our analysis. The median age of included children was 3.2 years (range 0.2-17.7). Overall, 38.8% visits ended in hospitalisation, 2.2% required admission to PICU, 15.2% were complicated by a PPE of which 28% required the placement of a chest drain. Statistically significant association was found between CRP levels and each of these outcomes (P < .001). Incorporating CRP within a multivariate prediction model provided an area under the curve of up to 0.96.
CRP can be a useful prognostic marker when evaluating a patient with suspected bacterial pneumonia and could help the paediatrician in identifying patients needing closer follow-up.
评估C反应蛋白(CRP)的预后价值及其预测肺炎相关并发症的能力。
对所有出院诊断为肺炎的儿科急诊科就诊病例进行了为期3.75年的回顾性队列分析。排除未检测CRP或出院诊断为病毒性肺炎的就诊病例。研究了以下五个结局:住院、胸腔积液(PPE)的存在、放置胸腔引流管、入住儿科重症监护病房(PICU)和菌血症。构建多变量模型并使用k折交叉验证进行验证。
在研究期间,有2561例肺炎就诊病例,其中810例纳入我们的分析。纳入儿童的中位年龄为3.2岁(范围0.2 - 17.7岁)。总体而言,38.8%的就诊以住院告终,2.2%需要入住PICU,15.2%并发PPE,其中28%需要放置胸腔引流管。在CRP水平与这些结局中的每一个之间均发现有统计学意义的关联(P <.001)。将CRP纳入多变量预测模型可使曲线下面积高达0.96。
在评估疑似细菌性肺炎患者时,CRP可以作为一个有用的预后标志物,并有助于儿科医生识别需要密切随访的患者。