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C反应蛋白对肺炎患儿的预后价值。

The prognostic value of C-reactive protein for children with pneumonia.

作者信息

Barak-Corren Yuval, Horovits Yair, Erlichman Matti, Picard Elie

机构信息

Pediatric Department, Shaare Zedek Medical Center, Jerusalem, Israel.

Predictive Medicine Group, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.

出版信息

Acta Paediatr. 2021 Mar;110(3):970-976. doi: 10.1111/apa.15580. Epub 2020 Oct 8.

Abstract

AIM

To measure the prognostic value of C-reactive protein (CRP) and its ability to predict pneumonia-associated complications.

METHODS

A 3.75-years retrospective cohort analysis of all paediatric emergency department visits with a discharge diagnosis of pneumonia. Visits where CRP was not measured or with a discharge diagnosis of viral pneumonia were excluded. The following five outcomes were studied: hospitalisation, presence of parapneumonic effusion (PPE), placement of a chest drain, admission to paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) and bacteremia. A multivariate model was constructed and validated using k-fold cross-validation.

RESULTS

During the study time period, there were 2561 visits for pneumonia, of which 810 were included in our analysis. The median age of included children was 3.2 years (range 0.2-17.7). Overall, 38.8% visits ended in hospitalisation, 2.2% required admission to PICU, 15.2% were complicated by a PPE of which 28% required the placement of a chest drain. Statistically significant association was found between CRP levels and each of these outcomes (P < .001). Incorporating CRP within a multivariate prediction model provided an area under the curve of up to 0.96.

CONCLUSION

CRP can be a useful prognostic marker when evaluating a patient with suspected bacterial pneumonia and could help the paediatrician in identifying patients needing closer follow-up.

摘要

目的

评估C反应蛋白(CRP)的预后价值及其预测肺炎相关并发症的能力。

方法

对所有出院诊断为肺炎的儿科急诊科就诊病例进行了为期3.75年的回顾性队列分析。排除未检测CRP或出院诊断为病毒性肺炎的就诊病例。研究了以下五个结局:住院、胸腔积液(PPE)的存在、放置胸腔引流管、入住儿科重症监护病房(PICU)和菌血症。构建多变量模型并使用k折交叉验证进行验证。

结果

在研究期间,有2561例肺炎就诊病例,其中810例纳入我们的分析。纳入儿童的中位年龄为3.2岁(范围0.2 - 17.7岁)。总体而言,38.8%的就诊以住院告终,2.2%需要入住PICU,15.2%并发PPE,其中28%需要放置胸腔引流管。在CRP水平与这些结局中的每一个之间均发现有统计学意义的关联(P <.001)。将CRP纳入多变量预测模型可使曲线下面积高达0.96。

结论

在评估疑似细菌性肺炎患者时,CRP可以作为一个有用的预后标志物,并有助于儿科医生识别需要密切随访的患者。

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