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使用模型输出进行决策支持之前要问的三个问题。

Three questions to ask before using model outputs for decision support.

机构信息

Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Department of Ecological Modelling, Permoserstr. 15, 04318, Leipzig, Germany.

University of Potsdam, Institute for Biochemistry and Biology, Maulbeerallee 2, 14469, Potsdam, Germany.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2020 Sep 30;11(1):4959. doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-17785-2.

DOI:10.1038/s41467-020-17785-2
PMID:32999285
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7527986/
Abstract

Decision makers must have sufficient confidence in models if they are to influence their decisions. We propose three screening questions to critically evaluate models with respect to their purpose, organization, and evidence. They enable a more transparent, robust, and secure use of model outputs.

摘要

决策者如果要影响其决策，就必须对模型有足够的信心。我们提出了三个筛选问题，以便从目的、组织和证据三个方面对模型进行批判性评估。这些问题使模型输出的使用更加透明、稳健和安全。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ba93/7527986/c56337085351/41467_2020_17785_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ba93/7527986/c56337085351/41467_2020_17785_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ba93/7527986/c56337085351/41467_2020_17785_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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