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年轻驾驶员对风险和难度的认知:白天与夜晚。

Young drivers' perceptions of risk and difficulty: Day versus night.

机构信息

La Trobe University, Victoria, 3086, Australia.

La Trobe University, Victoria, 3086, Australia.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2020 Nov;147:105753. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2020.105753. Epub 2020 Sep 28.

Abstract

Inexperienced drivers have a higher crash risk than others, particularly at night when drivers of all ages are at increased risk, but there has been little if any research on day-night differences in drivers' perceptions of risk and difficulty. Also, previous research on determinants of risk and difficulty ratings has focused largely on effects of vehicle speed, and researchers have identified a need to look more broadly at how ratings are affected by the complexity of depicted road-traffic situations. This study addressed those issues, using an exploratory approach entailing both quantitative and qualitative analyses. The 62 participants (28 females, 34 males) were grouped according to level of driving experience and age (16-30 years). Determinants of ratings were investigated using 6 day-night pairs of video clips at 6 different locations, plus 2 night-only clips at 2 other locations (14 clips in all). Depicted driving situations varied naturalistically in complexity as well as speed. They were presented in random orders twice to each participant, who used a slider to rate each clip continuously, once for risk and once for difficulty in balanced order. Consistent with previous evidence, there were no significant differences in ratings between participant groups. Ratings of risk and difficulty were highly correlated, as expected, but Rasch analysis confirmed that they reflected empirically different constructs. Ratings were significantly higher for night than day. They also differed significantly between locations, with vehicle speed not being their main determinant. Further, there were significant differences between locations in the relationship between risk and difficulty ratings, suggesting that participants' interpretations of 'risk' and 'difficulty' varied between locations. Qualitative analysis of rating patterns in relation to video clip content utilised constructs drawn from information theory and research on human information processing. It was concluded that more systematic research is required to investigate effects on ratings of variables determining the amount of information drivers must process, such as numbers and types of other road users and the predictability of their actions, road types and configurations, visibility conditions, particularly day versus night - as well as effects of vehicle speed which determines the required rate of processing.

摘要

经验不足的司机比其他司机发生事故的风险更高,尤其是在夜间,所有年龄段的司机都面临更高的风险,但对于司机对风险和难度的感知在日夜之间的差异,几乎没有研究。此外,先前关于风险和难度评分决定因素的研究主要集中在车速的影响上,研究人员已经认识到需要更广泛地研究评分如何受到所描绘的道路交通情况的复杂性的影响。本研究通过采用定量和定性分析相结合的探索性方法解决了这些问题。62 名参与者(28 名女性,34 名男性)根据驾驶经验水平和年龄(16-30 岁)分组。使用来自 6 个不同地点的 6 对日夜视频剪辑和另外 2 个在其他 2 个地点拍摄的仅夜间视频剪辑(共 14 个剪辑),调查了评分的决定因素。所描绘的驾驶情况在复杂性和速度方面都具有自然变化。每个参与者都将这些剪辑以随机顺序观看两次,然后使用滑块连续对每个剪辑进行评分,一次用于风险,一次用于难度,评分顺序平衡。与先前的证据一致,参与者组之间的评分没有显着差异。风险和难度评分高度相关,这是意料之中的,但 Rasch 分析证实,它们反映了经验上不同的结构。夜间评分明显高于白天。它们在地点之间也存在显着差异,车速并不是主要决定因素。此外,风险和难度评分之间的关系在地点之间存在显着差异,这表明参与者对“风险”和“难度”的解释在地点之间存在差异。与视频剪辑内容相关的评分模式的定性分析利用了来自信息理论和人类信息处理研究的概念。结论是,需要进行更系统的研究,以调查确定驾驶员必须处理的信息量的变量对评分的影响,例如其他道路使用者的数量和类型以及他们行为的可预测性、道路类型和配置、能见度条件,特别是白天与黑夜——以及决定所需处理速度的车速的影响。

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