Pathobiology and Population Science, The Royal Veterinary College, London, UK.
Department of Communication Studies, University of Ghana, Legon, Ghana.
BMJ Glob Health. 2020 Oct;5(10). doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-003319.
Lockdown measures have been introduced worldwide to contain the transmission of COVID-19. However, the term 'lockdown' is not well-defined. Indeed, WHO's reference to 'so-called lockdown measures' indicates the absence of a clear and universally accepted definition of the term 'lockdown'. We propose a definition of 'lockdown' based on a two-by-two matrix that categorises different communicable disease measures based on whether they are compulsory or voluntary; and whether they are targeted at identifiable individuals or facilities, or whether they are applied indiscriminately to a general population or area. Using this definition, we describe the design, timing and implementation of lockdown measures in nine countries in sub-Saharan Africa: Ghana, Nigeria, South Africa, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia and Zimbabwe. While there were some commonalities in the implementation of lockdown across these countries, a more notable finding was the variation in the design, timing and implementation of lockdown measures. We also found that the number of reported cases is heavily dependent on the number of tests carried out, and that testing rates ranged from 2031 to 63 928 per million population up until 7 September 2020. The reported number of COVID-19 deaths per million population also varies (0.4 to 250 up until 7 September 2020), but is generally low when compared with countries in Europe and North America. While lockdown measures may have helped inhibit community transmission, the pattern and nature of the epidemic remains unclear. However, there are signs of lockdown harming health by affecting the functioning of the health system and causing social and economic disruption.
全球已采取封锁措施来控制 COVID-19 的传播。然而,“封锁”一词并没有明确定义。事实上,世界卫生组织(WHO)提到的“所谓的封锁措施”表明,“封锁”一词没有明确和普遍接受的定义。我们根据一个二乘二的矩阵提出了“封锁”的定义,该矩阵根据是否强制或自愿,以及是否针对可识别的个人或设施,还是不分青红皂白地应用于一般人群或地区,对不同的传染病措施进行分类。使用此定义,我们描述了撒哈拉以南非洲九个国家的封锁措施的设计、时间安排和实施情况:加纳、尼日利亚、南非、塞拉利昂、苏丹、坦桑尼亚、乌干达、赞比亚和津巴布韦。虽然这些国家在封锁措施的实施上存在一些共同之处,但更值得注意的是封锁措施的设计、时间安排和实施存在差异。我们还发现,报告的病例数量严重依赖于进行的检测数量,并且检测率从 2020 年 9 月 7 日之前的 2031 例/每百万人到 63928 例/每百万人不等。每百万人报告的 COVID-19 死亡人数也有所不同(截至 2020 年 9 月 7 日,0.4 至 250),但与欧洲和北美国家相比,通常较低。虽然封锁措施可能有助于抑制社区传播,但疫情的模式和性质仍不清楚。然而,有迹象表明封锁措施通过影响卫生系统的运作和造成社会和经济混乱,正在损害健康。