Heap Katie L, Berrington Ann, Ingham Roger
Department of Social Statistics and Demography, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK; ESRC Centre for Population Change, Southampton, UK.
Centre for Sexual Health Research, School of Psychology, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, UK.
Health Place. 2020 Nov;66:102467. doi: 10.1016/j.healthplace.2020.102467. Epub 2020 Oct 22.
We consider England's two-decade teenage conception decline in the context of societal changes: rising educational aspirations; growing second- and third-generation teenage ethnic minority populations; increased deprivation associated with economic recession and post-2008 Government austerity; and changing housing availability. Using England's Local Authority Districts (LAD) 1998-2017, we explore the role of area characteristics in explaining spatial differences in under-18 conception rates and how changing characteristics may explain temporal changes. Urban/rural distinctions in teenage conceptions are largely minimised after considering LAD characteristics. Area characteristics continue to partly explain teenage conception rates but are better at explaining area differences than variation over time.
我们在社会变革的背景下审视英格兰青少年怀孕率在二十年间的下降情况,这些变革包括:教育期望的提高;第二代和第三代青少年少数民族人口的增加;与经济衰退及2008年后政府财政紧缩相关的贫困加剧;以及住房供应的变化。利用1998 - 2017年英格兰地方当局辖区(LAD)的数据,我们探讨区域特征在解释18岁以下怀孕率的空间差异方面所起的作用,以及特征的变化如何解释时间上的变化。在考虑了LAD的特征后,青少年怀孕的城乡差异在很大程度上被最小化了。区域特征继续在一定程度上解释青少年怀孕率,但在解释区域差异方面比解释随时间的变化表现更好。