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俄罗斯新出现的自然焦点传染病:医学地理研究。

Emerging Natural Focal Infectious Diseases in Russia: A Medical-Geographical Study.

机构信息

Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 119991 Moscow, Russia.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Oct 30;17(21):8005. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17218005.

Abstract

In Russia, as in other countries, the problem of emerging natural focal infectious diseases (EIDs) became more acute toward the end of the 20th century. However, the situation in Russia is unknown to foreign readers, while the prevention and control of these diseases require international collaboration. The aim of the study is to provide a medical-geographical assessment of the distribution of the main natural focal EIDs in Russia, as well as to present the approaches used in the country to create aggregate maps of risk assessment. To consider its current status, we determined the most important natural focal EIDs for Russia (tick-borne encephalitis, ixodid tick-borne borrelioses, hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome, Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever, West Nile fever, Astrakhan spotted fever, leptospiroses, and tularemia) and analyzed the patterns of their epidemic manifestation. As a result, a working classification of such infections and a series of maps showing the current situation of EID morbidity in Russia were created. To design an aggregated risk map, we developed an original mapping methodology and recalculated the model disease incidence by taking data from administrative units and adjusting them for natural geographical boundaries (biomes) for European Russia, and then evaluated the risk of infection for separate model diseases and for a set of them. The highest risk rates are confined to the northwest regions of European Russia, the Cis-Urals and the Volga region, which are naturally related to forest biomes, as well as to the southern steppe regions of the interfluves between the Volga and the Don, and the foothills of the North Caucasus.

摘要

在 20 世纪末,俄罗斯与其他国家一样,新兴自然疫源性传染病(EIDs)的问题变得更加尖锐。然而,这些疾病的预防和控制需要国际合作,而俄罗斯的情况不为外国读者所知。本研究旨在对俄罗斯主要自然疫源性传染病的分布进行医学地理评估,并介绍该国用于创建风险评估综合地图的方法。为了了解其现状,我们确定了俄罗斯最重要的自然疫源性传染病(蜱传脑炎、硬蜱传播的伯氏疏螺旋体病、肾综合征出血热、克里米亚-刚果出血热、西尼罗河热、阿斯特拉罕斑点热、钩端螺旋体病和兔热病),并分析了它们流行表现的模式。结果,创建了一个此类感染的工作分类和一系列显示俄罗斯 EID 发病率现状的地图。为了设计综合风险地图,我们开发了一种原始的制图方法,并重新计算了模型疾病的发病率,方法是从行政单位获取数据,并根据欧洲俄罗斯的自然地理边界(生物群落)对其进行调整,然后评估个别模型疾病和一组模型疾病的感染风险。高风险地区仅限于欧洲俄罗斯的西北部地区、中乌拉尔地区和伏尔加地区,这些地区与森林生物群落自然相关,以及伏尔加河和顿河之间的分水岭的南部草原地区和北高加索的山麓地带。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d1e6/7663368/cbb48fdf65e7/ijerph-17-08005-g001.jpg

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