1962年至2019年哥伦比亚卡利原发性中枢神经系统肿瘤的发病率、死亡率和生存趋势

Incidence, Mortality, and Survival Trends of Primary CNS Tumors in Cali, Colombia, From 1962 to 2019.

作者信息

Riano Ivy, Bravo Pablo, Bravo Luis Eduardo, Garcia Luz Stella, Collazos Paola, Carrascal Edwin

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, MetroWest Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Framingham, MA.

Population-Based Cali Cancer Registry, Department of Pathology, Universidad del Valle School of Medicine, Cali, Colombia.

出版信息

JCO Glob Oncol. 2020 Nov;6:1712-1720. doi: 10.1200/GO.20.00368.

Abstract

PURPOSE

Global studies have shown varying trends of CNS tumors within geographic regions. In Colombia, the epidemiologic characteristics of CNS neoplasms are not well elucidated. We aimed to provide a summary of the descriptive epidemiology of primary CNS tumors among the urban population of Cali, Colombia.

METHODS

We conducted a time-trend study from 1962 to 2019 using the Population-Based Cali Cancer Registry. The age-standardized rates per 100,000 person-years were obtained by direct method using the world standard population. Results were stratified by sex, age group at diagnosis, and histologic subtype. We used Joinpoint regression analysis to detect trends and obtain annual percentage change (APC) with 95% CIs. We estimated 5-year net survival using the Pohar-Perme method.

RESULTS

During 1962 to 2016, 4,732 new cases of CNS tumors were reported. From 1985 to 2019, a total of 2,475 deaths from malignant CNS tumors were registered. A statistically significant increase in the trends of incidence (APC, 2.8; 95% CI, 2.1 to 3.5) and mortality (APC, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.0) rates was observed during the study. The most common malignant CNS tumor was glioblastoma (17.8% of all tumors), and the most frequent benign tumor was meningioma (17.2%). Malignancy was more common in males than in females. Unspecified malignant neoplasms represented 32% of all cases. The highest 5-year net survival was 31.4% during 2012 to 2016.

CONCLUSION

Our findings demonstrate an increasing burden of primary CNS tumors for the last 60 years, with a steady rate from the early 2010s. There was an improvement of 5-year net survival for the last decade. Males had higher mortality than did females. Additional efforts are needed to fully explore the geographic, environmental, and genetic contributors of CNS malignancies within the region.

摘要

目的

全球研究显示中枢神经系统肿瘤在不同地理区域呈现出不同的趋势。在哥伦比亚,中枢神经系统肿瘤的流行病学特征尚未得到充分阐明。我们旨在总结哥伦比亚卡利市城市人口中原发性中枢神经系统肿瘤的描述性流行病学情况。

方法

我们利用基于人群的卡利癌症登记处进行了一项从1962年至2019年的时间趋势研究。采用世界标准人口通过直接法获得每10万人年的年龄标准化发病率。结果按性别、诊断时的年龄组和组织学亚型进行分层。我们使用Joinpoint回归分析来检测趋势并获得95%置信区间的年度百分比变化(APC)。我们使用Pohar-Perme方法估计5年净生存率。

结果

在1962年至2016年期间,报告了4732例新的中枢神经系统肿瘤病例。从1985年至2019年,共登记了2475例恶性中枢神经系统肿瘤死亡病例。在研究期间观察到发病率(APC,2.8;95%置信区间,2.1至3.5)和死亡率(APC,1.5;95%置信区间,1.1至2.0)趋势有统计学显著增加。最常见的恶性中枢神经系统肿瘤是胶质母细胞瘤(占所有肿瘤的17.8%),最常见的良性肿瘤是脑膜瘤(17.2%)。男性的恶性肿瘤比女性更常见。未明确的恶性肿瘤占所有病例的32%。2012年至2016年期间最高的5年净生存率为31.4%。

结论

我们的研究结果表明,在过去60年中原发性中枢神经系统肿瘤的负担不断增加,从2010年代初开始保持稳定的增长率。过去十年5年净生存率有所提高。男性的死亡率高于女性。需要进一步努力充分探索该地区中枢神经系统恶性肿瘤的地理、环境和遗传因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1de0/7713581/fb7005842882/GO.20.00368f1.jpg

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