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日本自杀的地理分布:空间模式和城乡差异。

Geography of suicide in Japan: spatial patterning and rural-urban differences.

机构信息

Department of Social Medicine, Asahikawa Medical University, Midorigaoka-higashi 2-1-1-1, Asahikawa, Hokkaido, 078-8510, Japan.

Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Hokkaido University Graduate School of Medicine, Kita 15, Nishi 7, Kita-ku, Sapporo, 060-8638, Japan.

出版信息

Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2021 May;56(5):731-746. doi: 10.1007/s00127-020-01978-7. Epub 2020 Nov 7.

Abstract

PURPOSE

There are notable geographic variations in incidence rates of suicide both in Japan and globally. Previous studies have found that rurality/urbanity shapes intra-regional differences in suicide mortality, and suicide risk associated with rurality can vary significantly by gender and age. This study aimed to examine spatial patterning of and rural-urban differences in suicide mortality by gender and age group across 1887 municipalities in Japan between 2009 and 2017.

METHODS

Suicide data were obtained from suicide statistics of the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare in Japan. We estimated smoothed standardized mortality ratios for suicide for each of the municipalities and investigated associations with level of rurality/urbanity using Bayesian hierarchical models before and after adjusting for socioeconomic characteristics.

RESULTS

The results of the multivariate analyses showed that, for males aged 0-39 and 40-59 years, rural residents tended to have a higher suicide risk compared to urban ones. For males aged 60+ years, a distinct rural-urban gradient in suicide risk was not observed. For females aged 0-39 years, a significant association between suicide risk and rurality was not observed, while for females aged 40-59 years and females aged 60 years or above, the association was a U-shaped curve.

CONCLUSION

Our results showed that geographical distribution of and rural-urban differences in suicide mortality in Japan differed substantially by gender and age. These findings suggest that it is important to take demographic factors into consideration when municipalities allocate resources for suicide prevention.

摘要

目的

无论是在日本还是在全球范围内,自杀的发病率都存在显著的地域差异。先前的研究发现,城乡划分塑造了自杀死亡率的区域内差异,而农村地区的自杀风险在性别和年龄上可能存在显著差异。本研究旨在探讨 2009 年至 2017 年间日本 1887 个市町村的性别和年龄组的自杀死亡率的空间分布模式以及城乡差异。

方法

自杀数据来自日本厚生劳动省的自杀统计数据。我们为每个市町村估算了标准化死亡率比的平滑值,并使用贝叶斯层次模型调查了城乡划分水平与自杀风险之间的关联,在调整社会经济特征之前和之后都进行了调查。

结果

多变量分析的结果表明,对于 0-39 岁和 40-59 岁的男性,农村居民的自杀风险高于城市居民。对于 60 岁以上的男性,没有观察到明显的城乡自杀风险梯度。对于 0-39 岁的女性,自杀风险与城乡之间没有显著关联,而对于 40-59 岁的女性和 60 岁或以上的女性,关联呈 U 形曲线。

结论

我们的结果表明,日本自杀死亡率的地域分布和城乡差异在性别和年龄上存在显著差异。这些发现表明,市町村在分配预防自杀资源时,考虑人口统计学因素非常重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/93e0/8068717/31f1535ed4e1/127_2020_1978_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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