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城乡自杀死亡率的不平等:城市性指标的比较。

Urban-rural inequalities in suicide mortality: a comparison of urbanicity indicators.

机构信息

Department of Human Geography and Spatial Planning, Utrecht University, Heidelberglaan 2, 3584 CS, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Department of Psychoanalysis and Psychotherapy, Medical University of Vienna, 1090, Vienna, Austria.

出版信息

Int J Health Geogr. 2017 Oct 30;16(1):39. doi: 10.1186/s12942-017-0112-x.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Urban-rural disparities in suicide mortality have received considerable attention. Varying conceptualizations of urbanity may contribute to the conflicting findings. This ecological study on Germany assessed how and to what extent urban-rural suicide associations are affected by 14 different urban-rural indicators.

METHODS

Indicators were based on continuous or k-means classified population data, land-use data, planning typologies, or represented population-based accessibility indicators. Agreements between indicators were tested with correlation analyses. Spatial Bayesian Poisson regressions were estimated to examine urban-rural suicide associations while adjusting for risk and protective factors.

RESULTS

Urban-rural differences in suicide rates per 100,000 persons were found irrespective of the indicator. Strong and significant correlation was observed between different urban-rural indicators. Although the effect sign consistently referred to a reduced risk in urban areas, statistical significance was not universally confirmed by all regressions. Goodness-of-fit statistics suggested that the population potential score performs best, and that population density is the second best indicator of urbanicity. Numerical indicators are favored over classified ones. Regional planning typologies are not supported.

CONCLUSIONS

The strength of suicide urban-rural associations varies with respect to the applied indicator of urbanicity. Future studies that put urban-rural inequalities central are recommended to apply either unclassified population potentials or population density indicators, but sensitivity analyses are advised.

摘要

背景

城乡自杀死亡率的差异受到了广泛关注。城市化的不同概念可能导致研究结果相互矛盾。本项针对德国的生态学研究评估了 14 种不同的城乡指标如何以及在何种程度上影响城乡自杀相关性。

方法

指标基于连续或 K-均值分类的人口数据、土地利用数据、规划类型或代表基于人口的可达性指标。通过相关分析测试指标之间的一致性。在调整风险和保护因素的同时,采用空间贝叶斯泊松回归来检验城乡自杀相关性。

结果

无论使用哪种指标,都发现自杀率在城乡之间存在差异。不同的城乡指标之间存在强烈且显著的相关性。尽管城乡差异的效应标志始终表明城市地区的风险降低,但并非所有回归都普遍证实了统计学意义。拟合优度统计表明人口潜力评分表现最佳,人口密度是城市化的第二个最佳指标。数值指标优于分类指标。区域规划类型学不被支持。

结论

城乡自杀相关性的强度因所应用的城市化指标而异。建议将城乡不平等作为研究重点的未来研究应用未分类的人口潜力或人口密度指标,但建议进行敏感性分析。

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