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碳排放交易体系(ETS)是一种有效的市场激励型环境监管政策吗?来自中国八个碳排放交易试点的证据。

Is Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) an Effective Market-Incentivized Environmental Regulation Policy? Evidence from China's Eight ETS Pilots.

作者信息

Chai Shanglei, Sun Ruixuan, Zhang Ke, Ding Yueting, Wei Wei

机构信息

Business School, Shandong Normal University, Jinan 250358, China.

School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Mar 8;19(6):3177. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19063177.

DOI:10.3390/ijerph19063177
PMID:35328863
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8955613/
Abstract

Climate change and environmental issues caused by carbon emissions have attracted the attention of governments around the world. Drawing on the experience of the EU, China is actively developing a national carbon emissions trading market, trying to encourage emission entities to incorporate carbon emissions reduction into production and consumption decisions through carbon pricing. Is this scheme an effective market-incentivized environmental regulatory policy? Since China successively launched ETS pilots in 2013, the effectiveness of reducing carbon emissions has become one of the current focus issues. This study uses the difference-in-differences (DID) method to evaluate the impact of ETS implementation on emissions reduction and employs the Super-SBM model in data envelopment analysis (DEA) to evaluate the emission-reduction efficiency of eight ETS pilots in China. We find that the carbon trading policy has achieved emission-reduction effects in the implementation stage, and the greenness of economic growth has a significant positive impact on regional GDP. The establishment of China's unified carbon market should be coordinated with regional development. Some supporting measures for regional ecological compensation and the mitigation of regional development are yet to be adopted.

摘要

碳排放所引发的气候变化和环境问题已引起世界各国政府的关注。借鉴欧盟的经验,中国正在积极发展全国碳排放交易市场,试图通过碳定价鼓励排放实体将碳排放减少纳入生产和消费决策中。该方案是否是一项有效的市场激励型环境监管政策?自2013年中国相继启动碳排放权交易体系(ETS)试点以来,碳排放减少的有效性已成为当前的焦点问题之一。本研究采用双重差分(DID)方法评估ETS实施对减排的影响,并运用数据包络分析(DEA)中的超效率SBM模型评估中国八个ETS试点的减排效率。我们发现,碳交易政策在实施阶段已实现减排效果,经济增长的绿色程度对区域GDP有显著的正向影响。中国统一碳市场的建立应与区域发展相协调。一些区域生态补偿和缓解区域发展的配套措施尚待采用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/4d59f09d3d5e/ijerph-19-03177-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/7a40d8826658/ijerph-19-03177-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/76e496381697/ijerph-19-03177-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/f5ec6188798e/ijerph-19-03177-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/476d92e5b456/ijerph-19-03177-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/63892265e26e/ijerph-19-03177-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/4d59f09d3d5e/ijerph-19-03177-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/7a40d8826658/ijerph-19-03177-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/76e496381697/ijerph-19-03177-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/f5ec6188798e/ijerph-19-03177-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/476d92e5b456/ijerph-19-03177-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/63892265e26e/ijerph-19-03177-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bea2/8955613/4d59f09d3d5e/ijerph-19-03177-g006.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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J Environ Manage. 2021 Feb 1;279:111704. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111704. Epub 2020 Dec 18.
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Spatial effects of carbon emission intensity and regional development in China.中国碳排放强度与区域发展的空间效应。
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Mar;28(11):14131-14143. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-11557-7. Epub 2020 Nov 18.
3
Multi-Agents-Based Modeling and Simulation for Carbon Permits Trading in China: A Regional Development Perspective.
基于多主体的中国碳排放权交易建模与仿真:区域发展视角。
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Jan 1;17(1):301. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17010301.
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How does emission trading reduce China's carbon intensity? An exploration using a decomposition and difference-in-differences approach.排放交易如何降低中国的碳强度?基于分解法和双重差分法的探究
Sci Total Environ. 2019 Aug 1;676:514-523. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.04.303. Epub 2019 Apr 23.
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Can a carbon emission trading scheme generate the Porter effect? Evidence from pilot areas in China.碳排放权交易计划能否产生波特效应?来自中国试点地区的证据。
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