Adiga Aniruddha, Chen Jiangzhuo, Marathe Madhav, Mortveit Henning, Venkatramanan Srinivasan, Vullikanti Anil
Biocomplexity Institute and Initiative, Charlottesville, USA.
Department of Computer Science, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, USA.
J Indian Inst Sci. 2020;100(4):901-915. doi: 10.1007/s41745-020-00206-0. Epub 2020 Nov 16.
Some of the key questions of interest during the COVID-19 pandemic (and all outbreaks) include: where did the disease start, how is it spreading, who are at risk, and how to control the spread. There are a large number of complex factors driving the spread of pandemics, and, as a result, multiple modeling techniques play an increasingly important role in shaping public policy and decision-making. As different countries and regions go through phases of the pandemic, the questions and data availability also change. Especially of interest is aligning model development and data collection to support response efforts at each stage of the pandemic. The COVID-19 pandemic has been unprecedented in terms of real-time collection and dissemination of a number of diverse datasets, ranging from disease outcomes, to mobility, behaviors, and socio-economic factors. The data sets have been critical from the perspective of disease modeling and analytics to support policymakers in real time. In this overview article, we survey the data landscape around COVID-19, with a focus on how such datasets have aided modeling and response through different stages so far in the pandemic. We also discuss some of the current challenges and the needs that will arise as we plan our way out of the pandemic.
在新冠疫情期间(以及所有疫情爆发期间),一些关键的重要问题包括:疾病起源于何处、如何传播、哪些人有风险以及如何控制传播。有大量复杂因素推动着疫情的传播,因此,多种建模技术在塑造公共政策和决策过程中发挥着越来越重要的作用。随着不同国家和地区经历疫情的不同阶段,问题和数据可用性也会发生变化。特别值得关注的是,要使模型开发与数据收集相匹配,以支持疫情各阶段的应对工作。新冠疫情在实时收集和传播多种不同数据集方面是前所未有的,这些数据集涵盖从疾病结果到流动性、行为以及社会经济因素等各个方面。从疾病建模和分析的角度来看,这些数据集对于实时支持政策制定者至关重要。在这篇综述文章中,我们审视了围绕新冠疫情的数据情况,重点关注此类数据集在疫情至今的不同阶段如何辅助建模和应对工作。我们还讨论了一些当前的挑战以及在我们规划走出疫情的路径时将会出现的需求。