Wageningen Food Safety Research (WFSR), Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands.
National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, the Netherlands.
Integr Environ Assess Manag. 2021 Mar;17(2):376-387. doi: 10.1002/ieam.4375. Epub 2021 Jan 19.
Nuclear accidents do not occur frequently, but their biological, psychosocial, and/or economic consequences may be severe. Hence, a thorough preparation for nuclear emergencies is needed to provide appropriate actions. During the transition phase of an accident, it is vital to include stakeholders in the decision-making process in order to gain support for the recovery strategy to be implemented as well as to share different perspectives, knowledge, and views on the decision problem. Because nuclear accidents are complex, involving many relevant factors that range from technical aspects such as health effects and costs to nontechnical issues such as social acceptance, a multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) may facilitate the decision-making process. The aim of this study was to investigate the usefulness of MCDA in the transition phase of a nuclear accident. To this end, an MCDA tool, which uses the weighted sum of a set of normalized criteria, was explored in exercises carried out in panel meetings with a selected set of (largely) governmental stakeholders. The panel meetings were performed in the Netherlands and the Slovak Republic. The exercises were based on a fictitious case study that affected the urban environment of a small city. Prior to the meetings, a set of 8 possible recovery strategies was identified. The use of the MCDA tool showed that it facilitated the decision-making process because it allowed for a structured and transparent approach in which stakeholders with diverse backgrounds can express their opinions and perspectives and reach consensus on the most appropriate recovery strategy. As such, it could be applied to a broader field of research involving any chemical release that necessitates an extended recovery strategy. Future research is needed in order to incorporate psychosocial effects of a nuclear accident as well as a broader group of stakeholders in exercises. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2021;17:376-387. © 2020 The Authors. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (SETAC).
核事故并不常发生,但它们的生物、心理社会和/或经济后果可能很严重。因此,需要为核紧急情况做好充分准备,以便采取适当的行动。在事故的过渡阶段,让利益相关者参与决策过程至关重要,这样不仅可以为将要实施的恢复策略获得支持,还可以分享对决策问题的不同观点、知识和看法。由于核事故很复杂,涉及许多相关因素,从健康影响和成本等技术方面到社会接受度等非技术问题,多准则决策分析(MCDA)可以为决策过程提供便利。本研究旨在探讨 MCDA 在核事故过渡阶段的有用性。为此,在与一组选定的(主要是)政府利益相关者举行的小组会议中,探索了一种使用一组归一化标准的加权和的 MCDA 工具。小组会议在荷兰和斯洛伐克共和国举行。这些练习是基于一个虚构的案例研究,该研究影响了一个小城市的城市环境。在会议之前,确定了一套 8 种可能的恢复策略。该 MCDA 工具的使用表明,它促进了决策过程,因为它允许采用结构化和透明的方法,使具有不同背景的利益相关者能够表达自己的意见和观点,并就最合适的恢复策略达成共识。因此,它可以应用于更广泛的研究领域,涉及任何需要扩展恢复策略的化学物质释放。未来的研究需要将核事故的心理社会影响以及更广泛的利益相关者群体纳入到练习中。