Gemeda Bedane S, Abebe Birhanu G, Paczoski Andrzej, Xie Yi, Cirella Giuseppe T
Ethiopian Institute of Architecture, Building Construction and City Development, Addis Ababa University, 120 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Faculty of Economics, University of Gdansk, 81-824 Sopot, Poland.
Entropy (Basel). 2019 Dec 31;22(1):59. doi: 10.3390/e22010059.
Land speculation that occurs on the urban border can be very problematic to the healthy development of cities-critical to economic growth. Speculative land investors, concerned with profits from trading in landed property, can especially affect developing countries where regulation is often poorly controlled and overly bureaucratic. An investigation into the factors motivating land speculators operating in the urban fringe of the city of Shashemene, Ethiopia is examined. The paper, in addition to contributing to the literature, is the second-known attempt and extension of the authors' pilot research to study the behavior of land speculators in the urban fringe of a growing Ethiopian city. A theoretical framework and conceptual breakdown are put together with historical reference to early land speculation examples. Two questionnaires were separately administered with a representative random sample of 159 members from the local land developer association (i.e., investors) and 24 senior officials from the study area. A principal component analysis categorized the most significant dynamics in controlling land speculation procurements. Results indicated motivational reasoning as the prime cause for speculative activities. Evidence indicated that land speculation is a critical dynamic for self-worth especially with business-oriented persons. Entropy, the disorder of the communicative data, suggests a possible rethinking of the way government should intervene in the urban property market. As such, developmental smart cities in Ethiopia must thoroughly consider the dynamisms of speculative activities and its effects on local housing as it moves forward-in the 2020s.
发生在城市边缘的土地投机行为可能会给对经济增长至关重要的城市健康发展带来很大问题。关注土地交易利润的投机性土地投资者，尤其会对监管往往不力且官僚作风严重的发展中国家产生影响。本文对埃塞俄比亚沙舍梅内市城市边缘地区土地投机者的动机因素进行了调查。除了丰富相关文献外，本文还是作者对埃塞俄比亚一个发展中城市城市边缘地区土地投机者行为进行研究的第二次尝试及拓展。本文结合早期土地投机案例的历史参考，构建了一个理论框架和概念分解。分别向当地土地开发商协会的159名成员（即投资者）和研究区域的24名高级官员发放了两份问卷。主成分分析对控制土地投机行为的最重要动态因素进行了分类。结果表明，动机推理是投机活动的主要原因。有证据表明，土地投机对于自我价值而言是一个关键动态因素，尤其是对于以商业为导向的人来说。信息熵，即通信数据的无序程度，表明可能需要重新思考政府干预城市房地产市场的方式。因此，埃塞俄比亚的发展型智慧城市在迈向2020年代时，必须充分考虑投机活动的动态因素及其对当地住房的影响。
