Girum Tadele, Lentiro Kifle, Geremew Mulugeta, Migora Biru, Shewamare Sisay
Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia.
Department of Statistics, College of natural and computational Sciences, Wolkite University, Wolkite, Ethiopia.
Trop Med Health. 2020 Nov 23;48(1):91. doi: 10.1186/s41182-020-00285-w.
COVID-19 is an emerging disease caused by highly contagious virus called SARS-CoV-2. It caused an extensive health and economic burden around the globe. There is no proven effective treatment yet, except certain preventive mechanisms. Some studies assessing the effects of different preventive strategies have been published. However, there is no conclusive evidence. Therefore, this study aimed to review evidences related to COVID-19 prevention strategies achieved through contact tracing, screening, quarantine, and isolation to determine best practices.
We conducted a systematic review in accordance with the PRISMA and Cochrane guidelines by searching articles from major medical databases such as PubMed/Medline, Global Health Database, Embase, CINAHL, Google Scholar, and clinical trial registries. Non-randomized and modeling articles published to date in areas of COVID prevention with contact tracing, screening, quarantine, and isolation were included. Two experts screened the articles and assessed risk of bias with ROBINS-I tool and certainty of evidence with GRADE approach. The findings were presented narratively and in tabular form.
We included 22 (9 observational and 13 modeling) studies. The studies consistently reported the benefit of quarantine, contact tracing, screening, and isolation in different settings. Model estimates indicated that quarantine of exposed people averted 44 to 81% of incident cases and 31 to 63% of deaths. Quarantine along with others can also halve the reproductive number and reduce the incidence, thus, shortening the epidemic period effectively. Early initiation of quarantine, operating large-scale screenings, strong contact tracing systems, and isolation of cases can effectively reduce the epidemic. However, adhering only to screening and isolation with lower coverage can miss more than 75% of asymptomatic cases; hence, it is not effective.
Quarantine, contact tracing, screening, and isolation are effective measures of COVID-19 prevention, particularly when integrated together. In order to be more effective, quarantine should be implemented early and should cover a larger community.
新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)是一种由名为严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)的高传染性病毒引起的新发疾病。它在全球范围内造成了广泛的健康和经济负担。除了某些预防机制外,目前尚无经证实有效的治疗方法。一些评估不同预防策略效果的研究已经发表。然而,尚无确凿证据。因此,本研究旨在回顾通过接触者追踪、筛查、检疫和隔离实现的与COVID-19预防策略相关的证据,以确定最佳实践。
我们按照PRISMA和Cochrane指南进行了一项系统综述,通过检索来自主要医学数据库的文章,如PubMed/Medline、全球卫生数据库、Embase、CINAHL、谷歌学术以及临床试验注册库。纳入了迄今为止在COVID预防领域发表的关于接触者追踪、筛查、检疫和隔离的非随机和建模文章。两名专家筛选了文章,并使用ROBINS-I工具评估偏倚风险,使用GRADE方法评估证据的确定性。研究结果以叙述和表格形式呈现。
我们纳入了22项研究(9项观察性研究和13项建模研究)。这些研究一致报告了在不同环境下检疫、接触者追踪、筛查和隔离的益处。模型估计表明,对暴露者进行检疫可避免44%至81%的发病病例和31%至63%的死亡。检疫与其他措施相结合还可使繁殖数减半并降低发病率,从而有效缩短疫情持续时间。尽早开始检疫、开展大规模筛查、建立强大的接触者追踪系统以及隔离病例可有效减少疫情。然而,仅坚持覆盖率较低的筛查和隔离可能会遗漏超过75%的无症状病例;因此,这并不有效。
检疫、接触者追踪、筛查和隔离是预防COVID-19的有效措施,特别是当它们结合在一起时。为了更有效,应尽早实施检疫并覆盖更大的社区。