Ocagli Honoria, Marcolin Erica, Da Re Filippo, Brigiari Gloria, Gentili Davide, Mongillo Michele, Tonon Michele, Michieletto Federica, Gregori Dario, Russo Francesca
Unit of Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Cardio-Thoraco-Vascular Sciences and Public Health, University of Padova, 35131 Padova, Italy.
Directorate of Prevention, Food Safety, and Veterinary Public Health-Veneto Region, 30123 Venice, Italy.
Healthcare (Basel). 2025 Jan 30;13(3):268. doi: 10.3390/healthcare13030268.
Nonpharmaceutical public health interventions, such as contact tracing (CT), have been widely implemented worldwide to mitigate the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
This study investigated the association between CT activity and COVID-19 cases, as well as the impact of timely contact with positive cases on hospitalizations in the Veneto region in northeastern Italy.
Data sources included a CT-focused questionnaire, regional daily CT activity data, and a regional database of daily COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions. Negative binomial regression models were used to assess associations between CT activity and the number of positive cases, the number of hospitalizations, the time to contact cases, the number of positive cases traced, and the number of CT operators. Different organizational models (OMs) were compared in terms of their effectiveness.
Hospitalization rates decreased by 54% when index cases were contacted within 0-1 days compared with a five-day delay in the first period. During periods of increasing case numbers, hospitalizations decreased to 8% for contact ranges of 0-1 and 2-4 days. The increase in CT activity showed a 60% increase in daily activity per 100 cases in the third period, excluding external CT activities.
These results emphasize the critical role of prompt and effective CT in controlling the spread of infectious diseases and reducing the burden on health care systems. Further research is warranted to explore the potential benefits and limitations of different organizational models in the context of contact tracing and public health management, as well as in a cross-cultural comparison.
非药物公共卫生干预措施,如接触者追踪(CT),已在全球范围内广泛实施,以减轻2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的传播。
本研究调查了意大利东北部威尼托地区接触者追踪活动与COVID-19病例之间的关联,以及及时接触阳性病例对住院率的影响。
数据来源包括一份以接触者追踪为重点的问卷、地区每日接触者追踪活动数据,以及一个关于每日COVID-19病例、住院情况和重症监护病房(ICU)收治情况的地区数据库。采用负二项回归模型评估接触者追踪活动与阳性病例数、住院数、接触病例时间、追踪到的阳性病例数以及接触者追踪操作人员数量之间的关联。比较了不同组织模式(OM)的有效性。
在第一阶段,与延迟五天相比,在0-1天内接触指示病例时,住院率下降了54%。在病例数增加期间,对于0-1天和2-4天的接触范围,住院率降至8%。排除外部接触者追踪活动后,在第三阶段,接触者追踪活动的增加显示每100例病例的每日活动增加了60%。
这些结果强调了及时有效的接触者追踪在控制传染病传播和减轻医疗系统负担方面的关键作用。有必要进行进一步研究,以探讨不同组织模式在接触者追踪和公共卫生管理背景下以及在跨文化比较中的潜在益处和局限性。