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从代码到市场:加密货币开发者网络与相关回报

From code to market: Network of developers and correlated returns of cryptocurrencies.

作者信息

Lucchini Lorenzo, Alessandretti Laura, Lepri Bruno, Gallo Angela, Baronchelli Andrea

机构信息

Fondazione Bruno Kessler, Trento 38123, Italy.

Department of Information Engineering and Computer Science, University of Trento, Trento 38123, Italy.

出版信息

Sci Adv. 2020 Dec 16;6(51). doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abd2204. Print 2020 Dec.

Abstract

"Code is law" is the founding principle of cryptocurrencies. The security, transferability, availability, and other properties of crypto-assets are determined by the code through which they are created. If code is open source, as is customary for cryptocurrencies, this would prevent manipulations and grant transparency to users and traders. However, this approach considers cryptocurrencies as isolated entities, neglecting possible connections between them. Here, we show that 4% of developers contribute to the code of more than one cryptocurrency and that the market reflects these cross-asset dependencies. In particular, we reveal that the first coding event linking two cryptocurrencies through a common developer leads to the synchronization of their returns. Our results identify a clear link between the collaborative development of cryptocurrencies and their market behavior. More broadly, they reveal a so-far overlooked systemic dimension for the transparency of code-based ecosystems that will be of interest for researchers, investors, and regulators.

摘要

“代码即法律”是加密货币的基本原则。加密资产的安全性、可转移性、可用性及其他属性由其创建时所依据的代码决定。如果代码是开源的,这在加密货币领域很常见,那么就能防止操纵行为,并为用户和交易者提供透明度。然而,这种方法将加密货币视为孤立的实体,忽略了它们之间可能存在的联系。在此,我们表明4%的开发者参与了不止一种加密货币的代码编写,并且市场反映了这些跨资产的依赖性。特别是,我们发现通过共同开发者将两种加密货币联系起来的首次编码事件会导致它们回报的同步。我们的结果确定了加密货币的协同开发与其市场行为之间的明确联系。更广泛地说,它们揭示了基于代码的生态系统透明度方面一个迄今被忽视的系统维度,这将引起研究人员、投资者和监管机构的兴趣。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b64d/7744071/bb73b11eb513/abd2204-F1.jpg

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