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一项系统评价和荟萃分析评估了干旱、洪水和气候变化对营养不良的影响。

A systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the impact of droughts, flooding, and climate variability on malnutrition.

机构信息

Johns Hopkins Bayview Medical Center, Baltimore, USA.

University of California, San Francisco (UCSF) School of Medicine, San Francisco, USA.

出版信息

Glob Public Health. 2022 Jan;17(1):68-82. doi: 10.1080/17441692.2020.1860247. Epub 2020 Dec 17.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Both the World Health Organization and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change project that malnutrition will be the greatest contributor to climate change-associated morbidity and mortality. Although there have been several studies that have examined the potential effects of climate change on human health broadly, the effects on malnutrition are still not well understood. We conducted a systematic review investigating the role of three climate change proxies (droughts, floods, and climate variability) on malnutrition in children and adults.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We identified 22 studies examining the effects of droughts, floods, and climate variability on at least one malnutrition metric. We found that 17 out of 22 studies reported a significant relationship between climate change proxies and at least one malnutrition metric. In meta-analysis, drought conditions were significantly associated with both wasting (Odds Ratio [OR] 1.46, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.05-2.04) and underweight prevalence (OR 1.46, 95% CI 1.01-2.11).

CONCLUSIONS

Given the long-term consequences of malnutrition on individuals and society, adoption of climate change adaptation strategies such as sustainable agriculture and water irrigation practices, as well as improving nutritional interventions aimed at children aged 1-2 years and older adults, should be prioritised on global policy agendas in the coming years.

摘要

背景

世界卫生组织和政府间气候变化专门委员会都预计,营养不良将是气候变化相关发病率和死亡率的最大贡献因素。尽管已经有几项研究广泛地研究了气候变化对人类健康的潜在影响,但对营养不良的影响仍了解不足。我们进行了一项系统评价,研究了三种气候变化指标(干旱、洪水和气候变异性)对儿童和成人营养不良的影响。

方法和发现

我们确定了 22 项研究,这些研究考察了干旱、洪水和气候变异性对至少一种营养不良指标的影响。我们发现,22 项研究中有 17 项报告了气候变化指标与至少一种营养不良指标之间存在显著关系。在荟萃分析中,干旱条件与消瘦(比值比 [OR] 1.46,95%置信区间 [CI] 1.05-2.04)和体重不足患病率(OR 1.46,95% CI 1.01-2.11)显著相关。

结论

鉴于营养不良对个人和社会的长期后果,在未来几年,应在全球政策议程中优先考虑采取气候变化适应战略,如可持续农业和灌溉实践,以及改善针对 1-2 岁儿童和老年人群体的营养干预措施。

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