Díaz José Joaquín, Renfree Andrew, Fernández-Ozcorta Eduardo J, Torres Miguel, Santos-Concejero Jordan
Department of Physical Education and Sport, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain.
School of Sport and Exercise Science, University of Worcester, Worcester, United Kingdom.
Front Sports Act Living. 2019 Nov 8;1:54. doi: 10.3389/fspor.2019.00054. eCollection 2019.
The main goal of this study was to analyse the pacing strategies displayed by the winners of the six World Marathon Majors in order to determine which race offers the greatest potential for future world record attempts. For data analysis, the total distance of the marathon was divided into eight sections of 5 km and a final section of 2.195 km, and time needed to complete each section was calculated in seconds. When we analyzed the mean winning time in the last 13 editions of each of the World Marathon Majors, we observed differences between New York and London (ES = 1.46, moderate effect, = 0.0030), New York and Berlin (ES = 0.95, small effect, = 0.0001), London and Boston (ES = 0.08, small effect, = 0.0001), Boston and Berlin (ES = 0.10, small effect, = 0.0001), Boston and Chicago (ES = 0.16, small effect, = 0.0361), Berlin and Tokyo (ES = 0.20, small effect, = 0.0034), Berlin and Chicago (ES = 0.27, small effect, = 0.0162). This study shows that Berlin and London are likely candidates for future world record attempts, whilst such a performance is unlikely in New York or Boston.
本研究的主要目标是分析六大世界马拉松大满贯赛事冠军所展现的配速策略，以确定哪项赛事为未来的世界纪录挑战提供了最大潜力。在数据分析中，马拉松全程被划分为8个5公里的赛段以及最后一个2.195公里的赛段，并计算出完成每个赛段所需的时间（单位：秒）。当我们分析了过去13届各世界马拉松大满贯赛事的平均夺冠时间后，我们观察到纽约与伦敦之间（效应量ES = 1.46，中等效应，P = 0.0030）、纽约与柏林之间（ES = 0.95，小效应，P = 0.0001）、伦敦与波士顿之间（ES = 0.08，小效应，P = 0.0001）、波士顿与柏林之间（ES = 0.10，小效应，P = 0.0001）、波士顿与芝加哥之间（ES = 0.16，小效应，P = 0.0361）、柏林与东京之间（ES = 0.20，小效应，P = 0.0034）、柏林与芝加哥之间（ES = 0.27，小效应，P = 0.0162）存在差异。本研究表明，柏林和伦敦很可能是未来世界纪录挑战的候选赛事，而在纽约或波士顿则不太可能出现这样的成绩。
