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新冠疫情与澳大利亚股票市场的行业表现:一项事件研究分析。

COVID-19 outbreak and sectoral performance of the Australian stock market: An event study analysis.

作者信息

Alam Md Mahmudul, Wei Haitian, Wahid Abu N M

机构信息

School of Economics, Finance and Banking, Universiti Utara Malaysia Sintok Malaysia.

Department of Economics and Finance Tennessee State University Nashville Tennessee USA.

出版信息

Aust Econ Pap. 2021 Sep;60(3):482-495. doi: 10.1111/1467-8454.12215. Epub 2020 Nov 27.

Abstract

The outbreak of COVID-19 has weakened the economy of Australia and its capital market since early 2020. The overall stock market has declined. However, some sectors become highly vulnerable while others continue to perform well even in the crisis period. Given this new reality, we seek to investigate the initial volatility and the sectoral return. In this study, we analyse data for eight sectors such as, transportation, pharmaceuticals, healthcare, energy, food, real estate, telecommunications and technology of the Australian stock market. In doing so, we obtain data from Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and analysed them based on 'Event Study' method. Here, we use the 10-days window for the event of official announcement of the COVID-19 outbreak in Australia on 27 February 2020. The findings of the study show that on the day of announcement, the indices for food, pharmaceuticals and healthcare exhibit impressive positive returns. Following the announcement, the telecommunications, pharmaceuticals and healthcare sectors exhibit good performance, while poor performance is demonstrated by the transportation industry. The findings are vital for investors, market participants, companies, private and public policymakers and governments to develop recovery action plans for vulnerable sectors and enable investors to regain their confidence to make better investment decisions.

摘要

自2020年初以来,新冠疫情的爆发削弱了澳大利亚的经济及其资本市场。整体股市下跌。然而,一些行业变得高度脆弱,而其他行业即使在危机期间仍表现良好。鉴于这一新现实,我们试图研究初始波动性和行业回报。在本研究中,我们分析了澳大利亚股市的八个行业的数据,如交通运输、制药、医疗保健、能源、食品、房地产、电信和科技。在此过程中,我们从澳大利亚证券交易所(ASX)获取数据,并基于“事件研究”方法对其进行分析。在这里,我们将2020年2月27日澳大利亚官方宣布新冠疫情爆发这一事件的窗口设定为10天。研究结果表明,在宣布当天,食品、制药和医疗保健行业的指数呈现出令人印象深刻的正回报。宣布之后,电信、制药和医疗保健行业表现良好,而交通运输行业则表现不佳。这些发现对于投资者、市场参与者、公司、私人和公共政策制定者以及政府制定弱势行业的复苏行动计划以及使投资者重拾信心做出更好的投资决策至关重要。

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