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对乌克兰放射性污染地区人口状况的综合评估。

INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC STATE OF RADIOLOGICALLY CONTAMINATED AREAS OF UKRAINE.

机构信息

State Institution «National Research Center for radiation Medicine of the National Academy of medical Sciences of Ukraine», 53 Yuriia Illienka St., Kyiv, 04050, Ukraine.

出版信息

Probl Radiac Med Radiobiol. 2020 Dec;25:204-219. doi: 10.33145/2304-8336-2020-25-204-219.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Basing on the integrated assessment to conduct a comparative statistical analysis as of 2016 of thedemographic state of the areas of Ukraine that are recognized as those with the most intensive radiological con-tamination due to the Chornobyl NPP accident.Study object. The population of the regions of Ukraine with the most intensive radiological contamination due tothe Chornobyl NPP accident and the population of Ukraine as a whole (control).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine and its regional offices were used asinformation base in this study. Integrated assessment of the demographic situation in a oblast was conducted basedon the calculations of the territorial indices and multidimensional average variable on each region. Demographic,mathematical-statistical, graphic, software-technological methods were used in this study.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

Radiologically contaminated regions of Ukraine differ significantly: both by the number ofpopulation (from 5800 people in the Poliske region to 105100 people in the Sarny region), and by the variability inthemedical and demographic indicators; bothone from another and compared to data for the country.The results of the calculations of 10 medical and demographic («positive» and «negative») territorial indices andmultidimensional average variable (P) as integrative assessment of the demographic state have revealed that thebest indicators of the demographic situation in 2016 were in Rokytne (P = 1.249) and Sarny (P = 1.112) regions ofthe Rivne oblast, while the worse indicators were in Kozelets (P = 0.363) and Ripky regions of the Chernihiv oblast.The demographic situation of the Olevsk region of the Zhytomyr oblast (P = 0.947)was the closest to the nationalaverage one. Poliske, Narodychi, Ovruch, Ivankiv and Korosten regions take intermediate position as comparedto theregions of Rivne and Chernihiv oblasts (P = 0.618-0.742).

摘要

目的

基于综合评估,对截至 2016 年因切尔诺贝利核电站事故而受到最强烈放射性污染的乌克兰地区的人口状况进行比较统计分析。

研究对象

因切尔诺贝利核电站事故而受到最强烈放射性污染的乌克兰地区的人口以及乌克兰全国人口(对照组)。

材料和方法

本研究使用了乌克兰国家统计局及其地区办事处的数据作为信息基础。对一个地区的人口状况进行综合评估,是基于对每个地区的地域指数和多维平均变量的计算。本研究使用了人口统计学、数学统计、图形、软件技术方法。

结果与结论

乌克兰受放射性污染的地区之间存在显著差异:人口数量(从波利斯克地区的 5800 人到萨拉尼地区的 105100 人)以及医疗和人口统计指标的变化幅度;与全国数据相比,每个地区之间以及地区之间都存在差异。

对 10 项医疗和人口统计学(“正面”和“负面”)地域指数和多维平均变量(P)的计算结果表明,作为人口状况综合评估的结果,2016 年罗基特涅(P = 1.249)和萨拉尼(P = 1.112)地区的人口状况最佳,而日托米尔州的科泽列茨(P = 0.363)和里普基地区的人口状况最差。切尔尼戈夫州的科列兹地区的人口状况最接近全国平均水平。日托米尔州的奥列夫斯克地区(P = 0.947)的人口状况与全国平均水平最为接近。与里夫尼和切尔尼戈夫地区的地区相比,波利斯克、纳罗季奇、奥弗鲁奇、伊万基夫和科罗滕地区的人口状况处于中间位置(P = 0.618-0.742)。

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