Bernal Oscar, López Rafael, Montoro Ernesto, Avedillo Pedro, Westby Keisha, Ghidinelli Massimo
Organización Panamericana de la Salud Washington DC Organización Panamericana de la Salud, Washington DC.
Rev Panam Salud Publica. 2020 Dec 18;44:e153. doi: 10.26633/RPSP.2020.153. eCollection 2020.
Determine patterns of tuberculosis (TB) incidence indicators and number of deaths from TB within the framework of target 3.3 of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and their correlation with social determinants.
Ecological study methodology was used, in which the population is the unit of analysis. Social determinants were analyzed using a negative binomial regression model and strength of association.
In the Americas, there was an average annual reduction in the TB incidence rate of 0.3% from 2009 to 2018; however, from 2015 to 2018, the rate increased, from 27.6 to 28.8 per 100,000 population. With regard to social determinants, the groups of countries with the lowest human development index (HDI) and gross domestic product (GDP) have a higher incidence of TB. TB risk in the country with the lowest HDI is six times that of the country with the highest HDI.
At the current rate of reduction in the incidence rate and number of deaths from TB, the Region of the Americas will not meet the targets in the SDGs and in the End TB Strategy. Rapid implementation and expansion of interventions for TB prevention and control are required to attain the targets. This involves, among other actions, reducing access barriers to diagnosis and treatment and strengthening initiatives to address social determinants.
在可持续发展目标(SDGs)的目标3.3框架内确定结核病(TB)发病率指标模式及结核病死亡人数,并分析其与社会决定因素的相关性。
采用生态研究方法,以人群为分析单位。使用负二项回归模型和关联强度分析社会决定因素。
在美洲,2009年至2018年结核病发病率年均下降0.3%;然而,2015年至2018年,发病率有所上升,从每10万人27.6例增至28.8例。关于社会决定因素,人类发展指数(HDI)和国内生产总值(GDP)最低的国家组结核病发病率较高。HDI最低的国家的结核病风险是HDI最高的国家的6倍。
按照目前结核病发病率和死亡人数的下降速度,美洲区域将无法实现可持续发展目标和《终止结核病战略》中的目标。需要迅速实施和扩大结核病预防和控制干预措施以实现这些目标。这包括采取其他行动,减少诊断和治疗的获取障碍,并加强应对社会决定因素的举措。