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法医学中科学测量的(误)用

(Mis)use of scientific measurements in forensic science.

作者信息

Dror Itiel E, Scurich Nicholas

机构信息

University College London (UCL), 35 Tavistock Square, London, WC1H 9EZ, USA.

University of California, Irvine, 4312 Social and Behavioral Sciences Gateway, Irvine, CA, 92697, USA.

出版信息

Forensic Sci Int Synerg. 2020 Sep 6;2:333-338. doi: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2020.08.006. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

Forensic science error rate studies have not given sufficient attention or weight to inconclusive and inconclusive . Inconclusive decisions can be correct decisions, but they can also be incorrect decisions. Errors can occur when inconclusive evidence is determined as an identification or exclusion, or conversely, when same- or different-source evidence is incorrectly determined as inconclusive. We present four common flaws in error rate studies: 1. Not including test items which are more prone to error; 2. Excluding inconclusive decisions from error rate calculations; 3. Counting inconclusive decisions as correct in error rate calculations; and 4. Examiners resorting to more inconclusive decisions during error rate studies than they do in casework. These flaws seriously undermine the credibility and accuracy of error rates reported in studies. To remedy these shortcomings, we present the problems and show the way forward by providing a corrected experimental design that quantifies error rates more accurately.

摘要

法医学错误率研究对不确定结果未给予足够的关注或重视。不确定的判定可能是正确的判定,但也可能是错误的判定。当不确定的证据被判定为同一认定或排除时,或者相反,当同一来源或不同来源的证据被错误地判定为不确定时,就会出现错误。我们提出了错误率研究中的四个常见缺陷:1. 未纳入更容易出错的测试项目;2. 在错误率计算中排除不确定的判定;3. 在错误率计算中将不确定的判定算作正确判定;4. 在错误率研究过程中,鉴定人员做出的不确定判定比实际案件工作中更多。这些缺陷严重损害了研究报告中错误率的可信度和准确性。为弥补这些不足,我们提出了问题,并通过提供一种能更准确量化错误率的修正实验设计来指明前进的方向。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3032/7770438/cd111cfc0d66/gr1.jpg

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