Surveillance and Health Services Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, Georgia.
CA Cancer J Clin. 2021 Jan;71(1):7-33. doi: 10.3322/caac.21654. Epub 2021 Jan 12.
Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the United States and compiles the most recent data on population-based cancer occurrence. Incidence data (through 2017) were collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program; the National Program of Cancer Registries; and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Mortality data (through 2018) were collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2021, 1,898,160 new cancer cases and 608,570 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States. After increasing for most of the 20th century, the cancer death rate has fallen continuously from its peak in 1991 through 2018, for a total decline of 31%, because of reductions in smoking and improvements in early detection and treatment. This translates to 3.2 million fewer cancer deaths than would have occurred if peak rates had persisted. Long-term declines in mortality for the 4 leading cancers have halted for prostate cancer and slowed for breast and colorectal cancers, but accelerated for lung cancer, which accounted for almost one-half of the total mortality decline from 2014 to 2018. The pace of the annual decline in lung cancer mortality doubled from 3.1% during 2009 through 2013 to 5.5% during 2014 through 2018 in men, from 1.8% to 4.4% in women, and from 2.4% to 5% overall. This trend coincides with steady declines in incidence (2.2%-2.3%) but rapid gains in survival specifically for nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC). For example, NSCLC 2-year relative survival increased from 34% for persons diagnosed during 2009 through 2010 to 42% during 2015 through 2016, including absolute increases of 5% to 6% for every stage of diagnosis; survival for small cell lung cancer remained at 14% to 15%. Improved treatment accelerated progress against lung cancer and drove a record drop in overall cancer mortality, despite slowing momentum for other common cancers.
每年,美国癌症协会都会预估美国新癌症病例和死亡人数,并汇编最新的基于人群的癌症发病数据。发病率数据(截至 2017 年)由监测、流行病学和最终结果计划、国家癌症登记处计划和北美癌症登记处协会收集。死亡率数据(截至 2018 年)由国家卫生统计中心收集。2021 年,预计美国将有 189.8160 例新癌症病例和 60.8570 例癌症死亡。由于吸烟减少和早期发现及治疗的改善,自 20 世纪大部分时间以来,癌症死亡率持续下降,从 1991 年的峰值下降了 31%。这意味着如果高峰时期的死亡率持续下去,癌症死亡人数将减少 320 万。前列腺癌的 4 种主要癌症的长期死亡率下降已经停止,乳腺癌和结直肠癌的死亡率下降速度放缓,但肺癌的死亡率却在加速,肺癌占 2014 年至 2018 年总死亡率下降的近一半。男性肺癌死亡率的年下降速度从 2009 年至 2013 年的 3.1%增加到 2014 年至 2018 年的 5.5%,女性从 1.8%增加到 4.4%,总体从 2.4%增加到 5%。这一趋势与发病率的稳步下降(2.2%-2.3%)相一致,但非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)的生存率却迅速提高。例如,2009 年至 2010 年诊断的 NSCLC 患者的 2 年相对生存率从 34%提高到 2015 年至 2016 年的 42%,包括每个诊断阶段的绝对生存率提高了 5%至 6%;小细胞肺癌的生存率仍为 14%至 15%。治疗的改善加速了对肺癌的治疗进展,并导致整体癌症死亡率创历史新低,尽管其他常见癌症的势头有所放缓。
CA Cancer J Clin. 2021-1
CA Cancer J Clin. 2020-1-8
CA Cancer J Clin. 2022-1
CA Cancer J Clin. 2015-1-5
CA Cancer J Clin. 2016-1-7
J Natl Cancer Inst. 2021-11-29
CA Cancer J Clin. 2017-1-5
CA Cancer J Clin. 2013-1-17
Nat Rev Cancer. 2025-9-8
Front Oncol. 2025-8-18
J Nanobiotechnology. 2025-9-2