Abbas Hafiz Syed Mohsin, Xu Xiaodong, Sun Chunxia, Ullah Atta, Gillani Samreen, Raza Muhammad Ahsan Ali
College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430074, Hubei, China.
School of Management, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430074, Hubei, China.
Heliyon. 2021 Feb;7(2):e05912. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e05912. Epub 2021 Jan 9.
For the last six months till today, the world had had no luck in defeating COVID-19. This study examined the impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on sustainability determinants, with the time arisen from December 27, 2019, through June 30, 2020. This study considers quantitative COVID-19 dashboard data with sustainable determinants; old age group, people exposed to air pollution, and countries with the most international travelers. Applying linear regression examines that COVID-19 behavior concerning the aging population and countries host the most international travelers, more positively significant than people exposed to PM2.5% air pollution, respectively This study made a novel contribution by analyzing two variables' interaction; first, the aging population and the countries that host the most international travelers. Secondly, the aging population and people exposed to air pollution are vulnerable to COVID-19 globally, a novel concept comprehensively. Results show that countries with aging populations are more exposed to COVID-19, and its interaction term host the most international travelers. It also analyses that the aging population and its interaction with people exposed to air pollution are also vulnerable to COVID-19 but marginally lesser than the former. However, their behavior varies from country to country, making room for future study to analyze a more in-depth analysis. It gives a different dimension to consider other risk factors of COVID-19 by bearing in mind its unique contagious characteristics, which will help policymakers draft a sound epidemic preparedness policy to tackle the unforeseen crisis. It gives a thought of provoking to policy practitioners for the risk characteristics of COVID-19, which needs a reassessment to epidemic risk management to deal with this, and future unforeseen crisis by considering Sustainable Development Goals.
直到今天的过去六个月里，全世界在战胜新冠病毒方面一直运气不佳。本研究考察了新冠疫情对可持续发展决定因素的影响，时间跨度从2019年12月27日至2020年6月30日。本研究将新冠疫情的定量数据与可持续发展决定因素相结合；老年人群体、暴露于空气污染中的人群以及国际旅行者最多的国家。应用线性回归分析发现，新冠疫情对老年人群体和国际旅行者最多的国家的影响，分别比暴露于PM2.5%空气污染中的人群更具正向显著性。本研究通过分析两个变量的相互作用做出了新颖的贡献；第一，老年人群体与国际旅行者最多的国家。第二，老年人群体与暴露于空气污染中的人群在全球范围内都易感染新冠病毒，这是一个全新的综合概念。结果表明，老龄化国家更容易受到新冠病毒的影响，其交互项是国际旅行者最多的国家所带来的影响。研究还分析得出，老年人群体及其与暴露于空气污染中的人群的相互作用也易感染新冠病毒，但程度略低于前者。然而，它们的表现因国家而异，这为未来更深入的分析研究留出了空间。考虑到新冠病毒独特的传染性特征，这为考虑新冠病毒的其他风险因素提供了不同的维度，这将有助于政策制定者起草合理的疫情防范政策以应对不可预见的危机。这引发了政策从业者对新冠病毒风险特征的思考，需要对疫情风险管理进行重新评估以应对此问题，以及通过考虑可持续发展目标应对未来不可预见的危机。
