Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Heart. 2021 May;107(10):822-827. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2020-318153. Epub 2021 Jan 22.
It has been suggested that cardiovascular disease exhibits a 'social cross-over', from greater risk in higher socioeconomic groups to lower socioeconomic groups, on economic development, but robust evidence is lacking. We used standardised data to compare the social inequalities in cardiovascular mortality across states at varying levels of economic development in Brazil.
We used national census and mortality data from 2010. We used age-adjusted multilevel Poisson regression to estimate the association between educational status and cardiovascular mortality by state-level economic development (assessed by quintiles of Human Development Index).
In 2010, there were 185 383 cardiovascular deaths among 62.5 million adults whose data were analysed. The age-adjusted cardiovascular mortality rate ratio for women with <8 years of education (compared with 8+ years) was 3.75 (95% CI 3.29 to 4.28) in the least developed one-fifth of states and 2.84 (95% CI 2.75 to 2.92) in the most developed one-fifth of states (p value for linear trend=0.002). Among men, corresponding rate ratios were 2.53 (95% CI 2.32 to 2.77) and 2.26 (95% CI 2.20 to 2.31), respectively (p value=0.258). Associations were similar across subtypes of cardiovascular disease (ischaemic heart disease and stroke) and robust to the size of geographical unit used for analysis.
Our results do not support a 'social crossover' in cardiovascular mortality on economic development. Our analyses, based on a large standardised dataset from a country that is currently experiencing economic transition, provide strong evidence that low socioeconomic groups experience the highest risk of cardiovascular disease, irrespective of the stage of national economic development.
有研究表明,心血管疾病在经济发展过程中存在“社会交叉”现象,即风险从高社会经济群体向低社会经济群体转移,但目前缺乏有力证据。本研究使用标准化数据比较了巴西不同经济发展水平州的心血管死亡率的社会不平等。
我们使用了 2010 年的全国人口普查和死亡率数据。我们使用年龄调整后的多水平泊松回归来评估各州经济发展水平(用人均发展指数五分位数评估)与心血管死亡率之间的关联。
2010 年,在 6250 万成年人中,有 185383 人死于心血管疾病。在经济发展水平最低的五分之一州,教育程度低于 8 年的女性与教育程度为 8 年以上的女性相比,心血管死亡率的调整后比值比为 3.75(95%CI 3.29 至 4.28),而在经济发展水平最高的五分之一州,比值比为 2.84(95%CI 2.75 至 2.92)(线性趋势检验 p 值=0.002)。在男性中,相应的比值比分别为 2.53(95%CI 2.32 至 2.77)和 2.26(95%CI 2.20 至 2.31)(p 值=0.258)。这些关联在心血管疾病的各亚型(缺血性心脏病和中风)中相似,并且在分析中使用的地理单位的大小方面是稳健的。
我们的结果不支持心血管死亡率在经济发展过程中的“社会交叉”现象。我们的分析基于一个正在经历经济转型的国家的大型标准化数据集,提供了强有力的证据表明,无论国家经济发展阶段如何,低社会经济群体患心血管疾病的风险最高。