Faculty of Contemporary Society, Kyoto Women's University, 35, Kitahiyoshi-cho, Imakumano, Higashiyama-ku, Kyoto, 605-8501, Japan.
Shigasato Hospital, 1-18-41 Shigasato, Otsu, Shiga, 520-0006, Japan.
BMC Psychiatry. 2021 Jan 26;21(1):57. doi: 10.1186/s12888-021-03049-w.
Although epidemiological and genetic studies have provided scientific evidence that places schizophrenia into the framework of early neurodevelopmental disorders, the psycho-behavioral characteristics of children that later go on to develop schizophrenia have not been sufficiently clarified. This study aimed to retrospectively identify characteristics specific to patients with schizophrenia during childhood via their guardians' reporting of these characteristics.
Participants included 54 outpatients with schizophrenia in their twenties who fulfilled DSM-IV-TR criteria. Additionally, 192 normal healthy subjects participated as sex- and age-matched controls. The guardians of all participants were recruited to rate participants' childhood characteristics from 6 to 8 years of age on a modified version of the Child Behavior Checklist (CBCL), which was used as a retrospective assessment questionnaire. Using t-tests, logistic regression, and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, we estimated the psycho-behavioral characteristics specific to schizophrenia during childhood. Using the obtained logistic regression model, we prototyped a risk-predicting algorithm based on the CBCL scores.
Among the eight CBCL subscale t-scores, "withdrawn" (p = 0.002), "thought problems" (p = 0.001), and "lack of aggressive behavior" (p = 0.002) were each significantly associated with the later diagnosis of schizophrenia, although none of these mean scores were in the clinical range at the time of childhood. The algorithm of the logistic regression model, based on eight CBCL subscales, had an area under the ROC curve of 82.8% (95% CI: 76-89%), which indicated that this algorithm's prediction of late development of schizophrenia has moderate accuracy.
The results suggest that according to guardian reports, participants showed psycho-behavioral characteristics during childhood, different to those of healthy controls, which could be predictive of the later development of schizophrenia. Our newly developed algorithm is available to use in future studies to further test its validity.
尽管流行病学和遗传学研究为精神分裂症属于早期神经发育障碍提供了科学证据,但后来发展为精神分裂症的儿童的心理行为特征尚未得到充分阐明。本研究旨在通过监护人报告这些特征,回顾性地确定儿童时期精神分裂症患者的特征。
参与者包括 54 名符合 DSM-IV-TR 标准的 20 多岁精神分裂症门诊患者。此外,还招募了 192 名性别和年龄匹配的正常健康受试者作为对照组。所有参与者的监护人都被招募来评估参与者在 6 至 8 岁时的儿童特征,使用的是儿童行为检查表 (CBCL) 的修改版,作为回顾性评估问卷。我们使用 t 检验、逻辑回归和受试者工作特征 (ROC) 曲线分析来估计儿童时期与精神分裂症相关的心理行为特征。使用获得的逻辑回归模型,我们基于 CBCL 评分建立了一个风险预测算法。
在 CBCL 的 8 个分量表 t 分数中,“退缩”(p=0.002)、“思维问题”(p=0.001)和“缺乏攻击性行为”(p=0.002)与后来的精神分裂症诊断均显著相关,尽管这些平均值在儿童时期都不在临床范围内。基于 8 个 CBCL 分量表的逻辑回归模型的算法的 ROC 曲线下面积为 82.8%(95%CI:76-89%),表明该算法对精神分裂症晚发的预测具有中等准确性。
结果表明,根据监护人的报告,参与者在儿童时期表现出不同于健康对照组的心理行为特征,这些特征可能预示着后来发展为精神分裂症。我们新开发的算法可用于未来的研究,以进一步测试其有效性。