Tepas J J, Ramenofsky M L, Mollitt D L, Gans B M, DiScala C
Department of Surgery, University of Florida, Jacksonville.
J Trauma. 1988 Apr;28(4):425-9. doi: 10.1097/00005373-198804000-00001.
The ability of the Pediatric Trauma Score (P.T.S.) to predict injury severity and mortality was evaluated by analysis of its relationship with the Injury Severity Score (I.S.S.) of 615 children entered into the National Pediatric Trauma Registry (N.P.T.R.). Mean age was 8.2 years and mortality was 3.5%. Mean I.S.S. of survivors was 8.1 in comparison to 59.7 for nonsurvivors. Linear regression coefficient determined from analysis of these variables produced a slope of -3.7 with a statistically significant correlation of P.T.S. to I.S.S. (p less than 0.001; r2 = 0.89). Analysis of the mortality for each cohort of patients with the same P.T.S. identified three categories of mortality potential. Children whose P.T.S. was greater than 8 had a 0% mortality. Children whose P.T.S. was between 0 and 8 had an increasing mortality related to their decreasing P.T.S. (r2 = 0.86), and children whose P.T.S. was below 0 had 100% mortality. This study documents the direct linear relationship between P.T.S. and injury severity, and confirms the P.T.S. as an effective predictor of both severity of injury and potential for mortality.
通过分析小儿创伤评分(P.T.S.)与录入国家儿科创伤登记系统(N.P.T.R.)的615名儿童的损伤严重程度评分(I.S.S.)之间的关系,对小儿创伤评分预测损伤严重程度和死亡率的能力进行了评估。平均年龄为8.2岁,死亡率为3.5%。幸存者的平均I.S.S.为8.1,而非幸存者为59.7。对这些变量进行分析得出的线性回归系数产生了-3.7的斜率,P.T.S.与I.S.S.之间具有统计学意义的相关性(p小于0.001;r2 = 0.89)。对具有相同P.T.S.的每组患者的死亡率进行分析,确定了三类死亡可能性。P.T.S.大于8的儿童死亡率为0%。P.T.S.在0至8之间的儿童,其死亡率随着P.T.S.的降低而增加(r2 = 0.86),而P.T.S.低于0的儿童死亡率为100%。本研究记录了P.T.S.与损伤严重程度之间的直接线性关系,并证实P.T.S.是损伤严重程度和死亡可能性的有效预测指标。